Summer
School
on
Sensitivity Analysis of Model
Output
U n i v e r s i t y o
f V e n i c e
J u n e 12 - 15, 2002
Simulation models are used in many settings and for different purposes.
Knowledge uncertainty, uncertainty in observations, poorly known physical
parameters, alternative value judgements can impinge on the defensibility
of model-based results. The model X-raying offered by sensitivity
analysis is useful to investigate how these uncertainty sources affect
the outcome of an analysis.
Goal of the summer school is to make
the participants aware of the state-of-the-art methods in sensitivity
analysis, to stimulate the flow of new ideas, and to suggest new research
directions. Most of the methodological advances in the field of
sensitivity analysis will be covered.
Application case studies will cover
environmental appraisal and decision-making, financial risk, performance
indicators for integrated environmental/transportation policy, short-term
time series analysis in econometrics, physics, macro-economy, etc.
Hands-on sessions will use software
packages (SIMLAB (JRC), GLUEWIN (JRC), UNICORN (TU Delft), CAPTAIN Matlab
Toolbox (CRES, Lancaster, UK)) to show how sensitivity analysis can be
used to supply transparent pictures of the state-of-quality of
model-based results and can be beneficial to their
defensibility.
Registration
forms and program are available at:
http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp
SAMO 2002 is partially funded through the IST
program of the DG Information Society of the European Commission, KD-net
project
For further information please contact:
Stefano Tarantola, Ph.D.
Technological and Economic Risk Management Unit
Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen
JRC - Ispra Site
TP361
I-21020 Ispra (VA)
Tel: +39-0332-789928
Sec: +39-0332-789686
Fax: +39-0332-785733
Corporate web-site:
http://ipsc.jrc.cec.eu.int/
The web of the Applied Statistics Sector:
http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa
Web and forum on sensitivity analysis:
http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/
Summer School 2002 on Sensitivity Analysis
http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp
SIMLAB Ver. 1.1
http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/default2.asp?page=SIMLAB
Anonymous FTP server:
ftp isis-gs.jrc.it
Prof.
Alessandro Fassò
University of Bergamo - Dept. of
Engineering
Via Marconi 5, 24044 Dalmine BG I,
Italy
tel. +39
035 277 323,
fax. +39 035 562
779
Cell. +39
338 8026 616
mailto:[log in to unmask]
homepage:
http://dipinge.unibg.it/Fasso
home address:
Via Consonni 165, 23807 Merate LC, Italy
tel/fax +39 039
990 8098