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Summer School on Sensitivity Analysis of Model Output U n i v e r s i t y o f V e n i c e J u n e 12 - 15, 2002 Simulation models are used in many settings and for different purposes. Knowledge uncertainty, uncertainty in observations, poorly known physical parameters, alternative value judgements can impinge on the defensibility of model-based results. The model X-raying offered by sensitivity analysis is useful to investigate how these uncertainty sources affect the outcome of an analysis. Goal of the summer school is to make the participants aware of the state-of-the-art methods in sensitivity analysis, to stimulate the flow of new ideas, and to suggest new research directions. Most of the methodological advances in the field of sensitivity analysis will be covered. Application case studies will cover environmental appraisal and decision-making, financial risk, performance indicators for integrated environmental/transportation policy, short-term time series analysis in econometrics, physics, macro-economy, etc. Hands-on sessions will use software packages (SIMLAB (JRC), GLUEWIN (JRC), UNICORN (TU Delft), CAPTAIN Matlab Toolbox (CRES, Lancaster, UK)) to show how sensitivity analysis can be used to supply transparent pictures of the state-of-quality of model-based results and can be beneficial to their defensibility. Registration forms and program are available at: <http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp>http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp SAMO 2002 is partially funded through the IST program of the DG Information Society of the European Commission, KD-net project For further information please contact: Stefano Tarantola, Ph.D. Technological and Economic Risk Management Unit Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen JRC - Ispra Site TP361 I-21020 Ispra (VA) Tel: +39-0332-789928 Sec: +39-0332-789686 Fax: +39-0332-785733 Corporate web-site: <http://ipsc.jrc.cec.eu.int/>http://ipsc.jrc.cec.eu.int/ The web of the Applied Statistics Sector: <http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa>http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa Web and forum on sensitivity analysis: <http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/>http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/ Summer School 2002 on Sensitivity Analysis <http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp>http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp SIMLAB Ver. 1.1 <http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/default2.asp?page=SIMLAB>http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/default2.asp?page=SIMLAB Anonymous FTP server: ftp isis-gs.jrc.it Prof. Alessandro Fassò University of Bergamo - Dept. of Engineering Via Marconi 5, 24044 Dalmine BG I, Italy tel. +39 035 277 323, fax. +39 035 562 779 Cell. +39 338 8026 616 mailto:[log in to unmask] homepage: http://dipinge.unibg.it/Fasso home address: Via Consonni 165, 23807 Merate LC, Italy tel/fax +39 039 990 8098