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Next Wednesday 17th at 5pm, Nick Sevdalis will be
discussing "Measurements Issues in Experienced Utility
Research" at UCL (5pm, Room 313, Dept of Psychology on the
corner of Bedford Way & Torrington Place).

At lunchtime on the same day, another seminar of interest
to jdm-ers is taking place at Birkbeck. Details are
forwarded below:

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                         Cognitive Sciences Seminars
                            School of Psychology
                               Birkbeck College

                                 Dr. Dan Zakay
                        (Tel-Aviv University, Israel)

                   The Dissociation Model of Overconfidence

                       Wednesday, October 17th , 1-2pm
                  Room 4029, 4th floor, Main Building, Malet St.
                           All visitors are welcome

Abstract: Subjective confidence in the accuracy of knowledge retrieved
from memory is not a reliable predictor of the actual accuracy. It is
hypothesized that this overconfidence phenomenon reflects a dissociation
between cognitive processes underlying knowledge retrieval on the one
hand, and cognitive processes which are associated with the emergence of
feelings of confidence. Whereas retrieval accuracy is dependent on the
existence of the target knowledge in memory and on the efficiency of
memory search and retrieval processes, feelings of confidence are gradually
developed via anchoring and adjustment process. the initial feeling of
knowing is the anchor and peripheral cues like retrieval latency and mental
load serve as the adjustment cues. The dissociation model is tested in a
series of empirical studies and its theoretical implications are discusses.
--- End Forwarded Message ---







Dr. David Hardman


Department of Psychology
London Guildhall University
Calcutta House
Old Castle Street
London E1 7NT

Phone:    +44 020 73201256
Fax:      +44 020 73201236
E-mail:   [log in to unmask]