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           Joint meeting of the Royal Statistical Society 
         Edinburgh Local Group and Medical Section

           Double Bill:  Gordon Murray and Jim Slattery

          8 February 2000

         **2.30 pm**  Please note time differs from that given in RSS
         News

          Room 301, Craighouse Campus, Napier University,          
          Edinburgh

     Non RSS members are welcome to attend, particularly non-   
     statisticians interested in the issues. There is no need to book
     a place but if you would like further information please contact
     [log in to unmask], or phone 0131-455-2349.

     Programme:

          Jim Slattery, Medicines Control Agency 

          DESIGN OF TRIALS IN DIAGNOSTIC AGENTS 

          This talk will discuss current perceptions of how the
          efficacy of diagnostic agents should be tested as reflected
          in the guidelines being developed by regulatory authorities
          in Europe and in the US. Some problems which have been 
          seen in recent application for licences to market such 
          products will be discussed and a current  debate over the 
          evaluation of imaging techniques will presented.

    Coffee/Tea

          Gordon Murray University of Edinburgh Medical School

          Improving the Design of Clinical Trials in Head Injury

          In the last decade a number of "neuroprotective" agents have
          been developed and taken forward into Phase III clinical
          trials in severe head injury. This talk will review a number
          of the  controversial issues associated with these trials,
          including interim  analyses based on the idea of 'futility',
          and the choice of appropriate  outcome measures. The main
          emphasis of the talk will be on  strategies for targeting
          patients for inclusion into trials (e.g. setting  the
          inclusion/exclusion criteria to reject patients with an
          extreme prognosis), and how this impacts on the statistical
          power.



Pamela Warner

Medical Statistics Unit
Department of Public Health Sciences
University of Edinburgh Medical School
Teviot Place
EDINBURGH EH8 9AG
Scotland UK
Ph.:   44-(0)131- 650 3248
Fax:   44-(0)131- 650 6909
email: [log in to unmask]


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