Folowing John's enquiry, one useful reference regarding the
recurrence rates from low back pain is the article by Croft et al in
the BMJ on May 2 1998, p.1356-1359, title "Outcome of low back
pain in General Practise: a prospective study.
This article suggested that a significant proportion of people
presenting to their GP's with LBP contionue to have back trouble.
They argue that LBP should not necessarily be seen as a "one-off"
condition or even as an episodic complaint, but that perhaps a
longer term view of the condition would be more appropriate.
Aside from that reference, the epidemiological section of the
Clinical Standards Advisory Group (CSAG) report on low back pain
has some juicy statistics which may help to furnish an answer to
your specific question.
Regards,
Peter
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