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AGM and Meeting on Complex Graphical Models
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The General Applications Section of the Royal Statistical Society will
hold its Annual General Meeting at 5:00pm (Tea at 4:30pm) on Tuesday,
June 8 at the Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London EC1Y
8LX.
Following the AGM, Michael Goldstein and David Wooff (University of
Durham) and Jim Smith (University of Warwick) will talk about
applications of Complex Graphical Models
All are welcome
Peter Craig
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MICHAEL GOLDSTEIN and DAVID WOOFF (University of Durham)
Bayesian Graphical Models for Software Testing
Software testing is a subject of vital practical importance. Even
though the reliability of complex software systems can never be
definitively established, the uncertainties as to software performance
are rarely quantified at the testing stage. We describe our
experiences in the use of graphical models for quantifying beliefs
about software failure, and show how such models may be used to
improve the testing process.
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JIM SMITH (University of Warwick)
Large-scale dynamic graphical models
This paper will discuss some of the structuring problems of building
very large inferential frameworks that need to combine a diverse set
of component models in coherent manner. We choose to build such a
framework using nested and dynamic Bayes nets. The methodology is
illustrated by a decision support system we are developing which
simultaneously predicts the short term, medium term and long term
consequences of the accidental release of radioactive contamination
into the atmosphere, onto the environment and into the food chain.
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