Royal Statistical Society Highland Local Group
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Meeting announcements
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When: Thursday December 9th 6pm
Where: Meston Building Rm 302, University of Aberdeen
Speaker: Dr Christl Donnelly (Wellcome Centre, University of Oxford)
Title: BSE Incidence and Case clustering - Is Scotland a special case?
Abstract: The national incidence of BSE continues to decline, but
international debates continue about the potential risk posed by the
remaining infected animals. The heterogeneity seen in the incidence
ofreported BSE cases in Great Britain is investigated, with
particular emphasis on Scotland (an area of reduced per-capita BSE
incidence throughout the epidemic). The understanding of clustering
obtained from simple descriptive statistics is used to inform the
construction of a detailed stochastic simulation model of BSE
transmission dynamics, and to review potential holding-level
survival models.
Tea: 5.45 in department
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When: Tuesday 29th February 4pm
Where: Torry Marine Laboratory,Victoria Road, Torry, Aberdeen
Speaker: Dr David Borchers (RUWPA, Maths Institute, University of
St Andrews)
Title: A Unifying Model for Estimating Animal Abundance
Abstract: The animal abundance estimation literature is littered with
a confusing array of apparently unrelated methods: mark-recapture,
catch-per-unit-effort, change-in-ratio, line transect, removal
methods, and others. By formulating the problem in terms of a
process model governing where, when and how animals are distributed,
and an observation model governing which animals are observed,
given the realisation of the process model, a general likelihood is
developed which includes all methods in a single framework. Some
illustrative examples will be given.
Tea: 3.45 in Marine Laboratory
WWW page:
http://www.maths.abdn.ac.uk/maths/department/rss/highlands.html
--
Graham Horgan Tel: +44 (0) 1224 716678
Biomathematics and Statistics Scotland Fax: +44 (0) 1224 716608
Rowett Research Institute
Aberdeen AB21 9SB, Scotland
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