Second European Conference on Highly Structured Stochastic Systems
(HSSS) (Pavia, ITALY, 14-18 September 1999).
http://www.unipv.it/hsss99/hsss.html
Complex statistical models, built by local specification to ensure
parsimonious conditional independence relationships, are being used
increasingly in many domains of application. They can demonstrate
great complexity globally, and thus describe and predict in
complicated situations, yet simple local dependencies facilitate
modelling, inference and computation. Such Highly Structured
Stochastic Systems (HSSS) are a major tool in epidemiology, genetics,
expert systems, image analysis, spatial statistics, and many other
areas.
The Conference is sponsored by the European Science Foundation.
Scientific Programme
This conference will aim to present the state of the art of
computational and statistical aspects of modelling,
inference and computation in HSSS, with particular emphasis on
applications of HSSS ideas in several fields,
including genetics, biomedical research and epidemiology,
environmental application, spatial statistics and expert
systems. Also basic theory and methodological aspects such as model
choice and criticism, dynamic modelling, and
non-parametric approaches will be part of the central theme.
The programme will have invited and contributed paper sessions, and
poster sessions.
Invited lectures
We are aiming for research-level talks, but we have suggested that a
major part of each lecture should be accessible to non-specialists.
Speakers who have agreed to give such a lecture include:
David Clayton, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Christopher Bishop, Microsoft Research, Cambridge
Peter Clifford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Peter Donnelly, Oxford, United Kingdom
Richard Gill, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Nils Lid Hjort, Oslo, Norway
Katja Ickstadt, Darmstadt, Germany
Niels Keiding, Copenhagen, Denmark
Jeffrey Rosenthal, Toronto, Canada
Tina Hviid Rydberg, Oxford, United Kingdom
Tobias Ryden, Cambridge, United Kingdom
Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Rome, Italy
Nanny Wermuth, ZUMA, Germany
Contributed paper and poster sessions
The programme will also contain contributed paper and poster
sessions. In
particular, papers addressing the following topics are encouraged:
Biomedical and Genetic Applications, Causal Inference, Computational
Issues, Conditional Independence, Dynamic Modelling, Expert Systems,
MCMC Convergence, Model Choice, Semiparametric Modelling, Spatial
Statistics and Imaging Applications
Scientific Programme Commitee
Elja Arjas, University of Helsinki, Finland
Arnoldo Frigessi, Norwegian Computing Center, Norway
Richard Gill, University of Utrecht, Netherlands
Peter Green, University of Bristol, UK
Steffen Lauritzen, Aalborg University, Denmark (Chairman)
Anthony O'Hagan, University of Sheffield, UK
Nils Lid Hjort, University of Oslo, Norway
Sylvia Richardson, INSERM, Paris, France
Nanny Wermuth, Center of Survey Research (ZUMA), Mannheim, Germany
Local Organising Committee
Guido Consonni, University of Pavia, (Chair)
Paolo Giudici, University of Pavia
Antonietta Mira, University of Insubria
Carlo Berzuini, University of Pavia
Sonia Petrone, University of Insubria
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Satellite Workshop
An international workshop
on "Inference and Prediction in Financial Risk Management"
will take place in Tirano (Italian Alps, on the Swiss border, about
140 km north of Milan), from September 10 to 12, 1999. The workshop is
jointly organised by Paolo Giudici (Pavia), Gareth Roberts and Joe
Whittaker (Lancaster)
The focus of the workshop is on applications of HSSS models and
specific topics include prediction, discrimination, stochastic
volatility, repeated measures, latent variable and hidden Markov
models, Bayesian and simulated inference; market segmentation, data
mining, targetting models for risk evaluation, scorecard development,
behaviour scoring, account and portfolio management and stock market
movements. The workshop will consist of 8 invited speakers each
speaking within a 1 hour slot, and 16 shorter 20 minute talks selected
after a call for participants.
The workshop will include representatives from
both academia and industry, and will provide excellent opportunities
for discussion and interaction.
Speakers who have agreed to give an invited lecture are:
Flavio Addolorato (Banca Commerciale Italiana Milan, Italy),
Giorgio Consigli (Unicredito, Italy),
Petros Dellaportas (Athens University of Economics, Greece),
Alan Lucas (BarclayCard, United Kingdom),
Graham Platts (Scorex, Germany),
Eric Renault (CREST, France),
Neil Sheperd (University of Oxford, United Kingdom),
Walter Zucchini (University of Goettingen, Germany).
In order to submit a contributed talk, an abstract of a length no more
than 3 pages including references and figures can be submitted
electronically. Note that only ordinary PostScript-files are accepted.
Please e-mail abstracts to [log in to unmask] Abstracts must be
received by 31 March 1999, to be taken into consideration.
Notification of acceptance will be given by May 1999. Finally,
participants to the workshop will be offered a bus ride in the early
afternoon of Thursday September 9 from both Malpensa and Linate
airports of Milan directly to Tirano and from Tirano to the main
conference in Pavia in the morning of Monday September 13. For more
information please see the web page of the workshop:
http://3weco.unipv.it/users/staff/pgiudici/www/tirano99.html
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Dates and deadlines (both for the main conference and the workshop )
Early-bird registration and payment
31 March 1999
Receipt of submitted abstracts
31 March 1999
Applications for grants
31 March 1999
Notification of acceptance
May 1999
Final registration with payment
31 May 1999
Conference dates
14-18 September 1999
Satellite workshop dates
10-12 September 1999
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Guido Consonni
Universita' di Pavia
Dipartimento di Economia Poltica e Metodi Quantitativi
Via S. Felice, 5
27100 Pavia
ITALY
Tel. +39 0382 506 225
Fax: +39 0382 304226
email: [log in to unmask]
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