Dear Simsoc colleagues,
I would like to announce an Online lecture by
Bruce Edmonds, Director of the Centre for Policy Modelling (CfPM) and Professor of Social Simulation at the Manchester Metropolitan University,
on the topic: Towards more realistic simulations of voting behaviours
Abstract: Recent work done as part of the PaCE project on modelling voting behaviour, initially focussing on the case study of Austria is reported upon. The dimensions and attitudes of voters is based upon survey data, voting totals from poll data and the position of political parties based on examination of their manifestos. The simulation allows voter agents to consider parties using a variety of dimensions but also different strategies for how to decide who to vote for. Voters also influence each other socially. The parties can also adjust their policy positions based on a number of different strategies and the general salience of the dimensions can change over time (e.g. during the immigration crisis). Preliminary results for this simulation are presented, along with a discussion of its limitations. Some future direction for such simulations is discussed such as prospects for inducing the voter belief model based upon an analysis of detailed survey data.
The lecture will take place on Zoom on
Wednesday, Feb. 16, 2022 at 12:00 CET.
If you would like to participate please register here: https://forms.gle/4DizdeBAj6FL3ZTd9
kind regards,
Martin Neumann
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