The election result (in England and Wales) is way off any prediction.
There had been a lot of talk of strategic voting. Is the result more a
consequence of voters "strategically polling"? Voters are so over-polled
they respond randomly (hence equality and no change over the campaign),
or deliberately mislead, or they see the poll results and then large
numbers decide to vote precisely to avoid that outcome. Do we need
statistical design or psychologists to detect such effects?
Allan
You may leave the list at any time by sending the command
SIGNOFF allstat
to [log in to unmask], leaving the subject line blank.
|