It is a wiki - change them.
If you know any better.
I suspect the reporting lines have broken, and indeed the counting
ones may have gone.
On 27 August 2014 23:21, Trefor Roscoe <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
> Oh and the Wiki page stats have not changed for a week
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_West_Africa_Ebola_outbreak more
> specifically
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_West_Africa_Ebola_outbreak#mediaviewer/Fil
> e:Diseased_Ebola_2014.png
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: GP-UK [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Julian Bradley
> Sent: 27 August 2014 22:44
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: Ebola update
>
> The silence from WHO about Ebola stats is almost deafening. Five days since
> the last stats when they had been appearing every 2 or 3.
>
> Interesting contradictions from Nigeria - "it's all under control"
> yesterday(ish), and then schools to remain closed until mid-October today!
>
> CNN reports 27/8/14 "It's even worse than I'd feared," Dr. Tom Frieden,
> director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, said Wednesday
> of the Ebola outbreak rampaging through West Africa.
> "Every day this outbreak goes on, it increases the risk for another export
> to another country."
>
> What's happening in the Congo may or may not be related - but surely adds to
> the pressure on international organizations and governments.
>
> I was stunned to see single use protective clothing being washed and re-used
> at this stage in the outbreak. There are new shipments going in but such
> procedures do explain why so many health care workers are getting ill and
> dying
>
> A logarithmic plot of the WHO data up to 20/8/14, simply using the totals
> for all countries combined, and using 7 day rolling averages of new cases
> seems to show about 2 months of increasing numbers that rather vaguely
> approximates to a 10 fold increase.
>
> IF that data is anything like correct (unlikely) and nothing changes
> (unlikely) then around end of October we'd be seeing around 4500 -
> 5000 new cases per week, and around Xmas around 45000 - 50000 new cases per
> week.
>
> It seems reasonable that, with determination, an outbreak infecting
> 450 or so people a week can be controlled. I personally struggle to see
> what control measures are likely to be effective if there's not a turn
> around in the next 8 weeks or so - in which case are we looking at an
> infection that will burn itself out after wreaking what havoc it will? In
> that situation it's hard to see that people won't flee, and potentially
> spread the virus as they do that. I hope there's some serious planning
> going on and some priority and resource being given to controlling the
> situation now while control is perhaps, just, possible.
>
> J
--
Adrian Midgley http://www.defoam.net/
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