Dear DCM experts
While running RFX BMS analysis we have noticed some inconsistency.
The exceedance probability for individual model changes when adding a family partitioning comparison to the process.
Namely: when we run BMS on 16 models without family partitioning - model 11 is the winning model. However, when running BMS with the same data, while also testing for family partioning - suddenly model 14 is the winning model.
My question is: why does family comparison affect the exceedance probability of individual models?
I'd appreciate your help
Tali Bitan
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