Apologies for cross postings..

CALL FOR PAPERS – IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems

Special Issue on "Emerging techniques for the management of uncertainty in
computational traffic models"

Scope of Topics and Interest:
Reliability of predictions made by traffic simulation models and artificial
transportation systems, has become a major concern recently with the
increasing use of complex models in real world applications. To deal with
such problems, the scientific community has started to shift focus from the
adequacy of models themselves, to issues related to management of the
system/model uncertainty, which in-turn, are attracting the attention of
many academic communities, becoming part of a rising transversal discipline
in simulation modelling.

Models in the field of traffic simulation and artificial transportation
systems, in particular, are often complex systems with diverse types of
inputs and parameters. A few of these can be directly measured in the real
world, while suitable probability density functions need to be estimated for
most others. Such processes are essential to replicate measured conditions
and account for the variability in the real world. Originally, this involved
trial-and-error type approaches, however in the last decade processes for
the management of uncertainty in simulation models have become formalised.
Additionally, tools and frameworks have been developed for systematic
calibration and validation of models, and sensitivity analysis is now
receiving increasing attention as the main tool for providing the necessary
feedback on the whole process, and additional insight into the model
properties and behaviours.  

Recently, the EU COST Action ‘MULTITUDE’, has been promoting a coherent
vision and harmonised approaches to cope with such problems, and building on
such achievements, this call aims at gathering papers on methodologies for
the management of uncertainty in traffic simulation and artificial
transportation systems and their practical application. These include, but
are not limited to:
• On-line and off-line calibration
• Risk assessment in decision making
• Disaggregate and aggregate calibration of microscopic traffic flow models
• Time dependent OD matrix estimation and prediction
• Uncertainty quantification: probabilistic frameworks and uncertainty
settings, Monte Carlo simulations  and other propagation methods
• Global sensitivity analysis: variance-decomposition methods, screening
methods, meta-modelling, etc.
• Model validation

Manuscript Submission, Publication and Dates:
Prospective authors are invited to submit contributions reporting on their
current research on the above topics. Manuscripts must be submitted
electronically at http://mc.manuscriptcentral.com/t-its .

Tentative schedule for the Special Issue is as follows:
• First submission deadline: July 1st, 2013. 
• Notification of first decision: Oct 15th, 2013.
• Issue of Publication: June 2014.

Guest Editors
Dr. Vincenzo Punzo ([log in to unmask]).  Senior Researcher,
European Commission Joint Research Centre, Italy, and Assistant Professor,
University of Naples Federico II, Italy.
Dr. Mark Brackstone ([log in to unmask]). Consultant, IOMI,
Southampton, U.K.
Dr. Constantinos Antoniou ([log in to unmask]). Assistant Professor,
National Technical University of Athens, Greece.