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CRISIS-FORUM  February 2013

CRISIS-FORUM February 2013

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Subject:

Re: Request for References - Mark Lynas - 7. How reliable is Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees"?

From:

"E.M. Cary" <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

E.M. Cary

Date:

Thu, 7 Feb 2013 14:23:26 +0000

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (211 lines)

Good point about 2007, Nicholas.

Cheers,

Elizabeth Cary

On Feb 7 2013, Nicholas Maxwell wrote:

>BlankDear Peter and George,
>
>Thank you for your very helpful comments.
>
> Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees" was published in 2007. Have there been 
> developments in climate science since then to change ideas about what 
> more CO2 in the atmosphere and temperature rises from 1 to 6 degrees are 
> likely to produce?
>
>                             Best wishes,
>
>                                      Nick Maxwell
>Website: www.ucl.ac.uk/from-knowledge-to-wisdom
>Publications online: http://philpapers.org/profile/17092
>http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/view/people/ANMAX22.date.html
>
>
>  The Realclimate experts checked it when it came out and said it was all 
> accurate.
>
>  Peter C
>
>  From: George Marshall 
>  Sent: Wednesday, February 06, 2013 11:55 AM
>  To: [log in to unmask] 
>  Subject: Re: Request for References - Mark Lynas - 7. How reliable is 
> Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees"?
>
>  Not wishing to get into the entirely merited rumpus over Mark Lynas and 
> GMOs, but just to say that I think Six Degrees is a well researched 
> summary of the science at the time it was written and it has been 
> received as such by the climate scientists. I would say that it is an 
> excellent piece of work.
>
>   
>
>  George 
>
>   
>
>   
>
>  From: Discussion list for the Crisis Forum 
> [mailto:[log in to unmask]] On Behalf Of Tessa Burrington
>  Sent: 05 February 2013 17:27
>  To: [log in to unmask]
>  Subject: Re: Request for References - Mark Lynas - 7. How reliable is 
> Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees"?
>
>   
>
>
>   
>  
> http://www.gmwatch.org/latest-listing/52-2013/14612-debunking-mark-lynass-gm-myths
>
>  Hello Nicholas,
>
>  I don't know anything about "Six Digrees". So stop reading now if you 
> feel so inclined lol.
>
>  However, I have been following some aspects of "food politics" for 4 
> years or so and there are many that are not too happy :-( with Mark! 
> Millions in fact.
>
>  Many academics have very little knowledge about GM issues and have been 
> easily taken in by GM myths and "sophisticated" and misleading PR. Such 
> are our times.
>  Mark appears to be one of them. I was met with an astonishingly rude 
> and quite bizarre comment from a well known contributor to this Forum 
> last time I tried to raise the issue of some misleading techno food 
> consultations going on in the EU and UK (Cloning, GM, Synthetic Biology 
> etc). Granted the abusive comments were in relation to human DNA 
> tinkering and probably due to a misunderstanding.
>
>  Unfortunately, I think similar things are happening with nanotechnology 
> and regulation needs to be looked at as a matter of urgency.
>
>  There are also these links regarding Mark Lynas:
>  http://www.powerbase.info/index.php/Mark_Lynas
>   
>  
> http://sustainablepulse.com/2013/01/08/lynas-school-pseudo-scientific-environmentalism/
>  I am no expert, but time permitting you might want to look into small 
> farming, agroecology and climate change.
>
>
>  ".... Separating evidence from rhetoric
>
>  Lynas went wrong in several areas. First, he claims that GE crops are 
> critical to feeding the world. There are two fundamental problems with 
> his reasoning: a) GE crops do not increase yield and b) focusing on 
> productivity is not actually the way to solve world hunger.
>
>  Taking the second, larger point first: people are hungry because they 
> cannot afford to buy food. They cannot afford food because they are poor, 
> and their poverty is related to a host of complex political, social, 
> economic and environmental factors. It turns out that things like global 
> trade policies, land tenure, commodity speculation, corporate 
> concentration ratios and biofuel mandates are more direct determinants of 
> hunger than a crop plant's intrinsic yield.
>
>  That is why the most comprehensive global assessment of agriculture to 
> date - the World Bank and U.N.-sponsored International Assessment of 
> Agricultural Knowledge, Scientific and Technology for Development 
> (IAASTD), authored by 400 scientists and development experts from over 80 
> countries - highlighted the urgent need to undertake major shifts in 
> governance, trade, finance and development policies in order to "feed the 
> world." This could be achieved, says the IAASTD, by rebalancing power in 
> the food system, supporting small-scale farmers and advancing social 
> equity.
>
>  The IAASTD - and numerous other U.N. reports - have also concluded that 
> increasing investment in agroecological and diversified farming systems 
> is crucial to meeting the closely interconnected climate, water, energy 
> and food challenges of the 21st century. According to the UN Special 
> Rapporteur on the Right to Food, agroecological farming can double food 
> production within 10 years, while mitigating climate change and 
> alleviating poverty..."
>
>  Thank you.
>  Tessa
>
>
>
>
>
>
>  
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>  Date: Tue, 5 Feb 2013 11:46:06 +0000
>  From: [log in to unmask]
>  Subject: Request for References
>  To: [log in to unmask]
>
>  Can any member of the Forum help? I need to track down references that 
> give authoritative answers to the following questions:
>
>   
>
>  1. What percentage of CO2 that has been added to the atmosphere since 
> the beginning of the industrial revolution has been put there by the 
> industrially advanced countries: Europe, USA and Canada, Australia, 
> Russia, and perhaps Japan?
>
>  2. What ought the UK, Europe, USA, Canada, Australia, Russia, Japan to 
> be doing now to reduce CO2 emissions as much as possible, without 
> bringing their economies to their knees?
>
>  3. If this is done, what is the estimated eventual global average 
> temperature rise?
>
>  4. What are these countries doing at present, and what is likely to be 
> the global temperature rise if this continues?
>
>  5. What is it reasonable to expect the new industrial nations to do - 
> China, India, Brazil, etc?
>
>  6. Is there a recent resume of what we ought to be doing, globally, to 
> reduce CO2 emissions, and how this compares with what we are doing?
>
>  7. How reliable is Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees"?
>
>   
>
>  I am trying to finish a book called "How Universities Can Help Create a 
> Wiser World: The Urgent Need for an Academic Revolution" which is to be 
> published as a paperback at £9-95 (so people can buy it!). The theme of 
> the book is that, in order to make progress towards as good a world as 
> possible we need to bring about a revolution in academia so that problems 
> of living - including global problems - are put at the heart of 
> universities. Academia needs to be devoted to public education about what 
> our problems are, and what we need to do about them. Climate change is 
> our most serious global problem. In the book I need to sketch what the 
> problem is, and what we ought to be doing about it. Hence my questions.
>
>   
>
>  Any help I receive will of course be very gratefully acknowledged in 
> the book. If anyone is able to help, perhaps the answer should be sent to 
> me off list, and I can subsequently let the Forum know what I have 
> learnt.
>
>   
>
>                                    Best wishes,
>
>   
>
>                                Nicholas Maxwell
>
>  (Emeritus Reader, University College London)
>
>  Website: www.ucl.ac.uk/from-knowledge-to-wisdom
>  Publications online: http://philpapers.org/profile/17092
>  http://discovery.ucl.ac.uk/view/people/ANMAX22.date.html
>
>
>
>
>

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