Dear Steven,

We do have some statistics about the proportion of full-texts across
UK repositories acquired through the CORE system
(http://core.kmi.open.ac.uk). CORE harvests not only metadata, but
also full-text content from repositories and as a result we have
statistical information about the amount of downloadable and also
machine readable pdfs. However, the statistics are at the moment more
accurate for EPrint repositories than for DSpace and other systems due
to the issue described in this blog post entitled Finding fullt-exts:
http://core-project.kmi.open.ac.uk/node/31. I am happy to supply the
statistics and help in activities related to the monitoring of OA
content in UK repositories.

Best wishes,

Petr Knoth
Research Associate
Knowledge Media institute
The Open University

On 28 October 2012 11:57, Stevan Harnad <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
> On 2012-10-28, at 6:44 AM, David Wojick <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
> Stevan, did you verify that the deposits were actual articles? In many cases
> the records counted by ROAR are metadata or other items. For example
> Cambridge is listed as very large but it has almost no articles. Does ROAR
> log actual articles separately? I have not seen that in their data but may
> have missed it.
>
>
> David, you are quite right to ask this question, and the answer is no:
>
> 1. ROAR does not yet have a reliable way to determine whether a deposit is
> the full-text of a refereed journal article or just the metadata (or some
> other kind of content).
>
> 2. However, we do have a robot that can sample and test that with high
> accuracy, and one natural follow-up study is to use the robot to estimate
> what proportion of repository content is full-text journal articles.
>
> 3. In a prior study we have already used the robot to confirm about  70%
> full-text deposit for the oldest and strongest mandates.
>
> 4. Meanwhile, however, whatever that full-text percentage is globally, it
> seems reasonable to suppose that it is roughly the same across repositories:
> hence an increase in the average number of deposits means an increase in
> full-text deposits, whatever the average full-text percentage is.
>
> 5. The mandates in question are full-text deposit deposit mandates: they are
> not fulfilled by depositing metadata alone (or other kinds of content).
>
> 6. Hence it seems reasonable to suppose that if the deposit rate is higher,
> the stronger the mandate, the increase is in full-text deposits, not just
> metadata (or other kinds of content), regardless of the baseline proportion
> of full-text across repositories.
>
> 7. To suppose otherwise would be to suppose a rather complicated and ad hoc
> form of bias: that the institutions which tend to adopt stronger Green OA
> mandates are also the institutions which tend to have higher deposit rates
> already -- and/or deposit rates with full-text ratios systematically
> different from the global average.
>
> 8. We did test for bias in university webomtrics rankings associated with
> mandate strength, but found none.
>
>
> (You are quite right about the enormous number of deposits -- 216,692,
> mostly not articles -- in the Cambridge repository. This did not enter into
> our analysis because (a) Cambridge has no mandate at all. Moreover, (b)
> Cambridge does not rank highly in the medium deposit rate ranking that ROAR
> considers most closely matched to annual university article output: This
> suggests that Cambridge is uploading huge batches of some sort of data
> rarely, rather than regularly depositing approximately the number of
> articles that universities produce across the year.)
>
> Stevan Harnad
>
>
>
> On Oct 27, 2012, at 11:58 PM, Stevan Harnad <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
> Adminstrative info for SIGMETRICS (for example unsubscribe):
> http://web.utk.edu/~gwhitney/sigmetrics.html On Sat, Oct 27, 2012 at 1:44
> PM, CHARLES OPPENHEIM <[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
>> This is a significant and important set of findings, which should be
>> forwarded on to decision-makers, both in Universities and in funding
>> agencies.
>>
>> More like this, please Stevan
>>
>> Professor Charles Oppenheim
>
>
> More on the way.
>
> But meanwhile, OA advocates, please do forward these findings on mandate
> strength to decision-makers at your university and funding agencies.
>
> It's now more important than ever to make sure that OA policy decisions are
> evidence-based, especially to counter the extensive negative effects of the
> publishing lobby, as most dramatically exerted very recently on the Finch
> Report and the resulting RCUK policy.
>
> Stevan Harnad
>
>> ________________________________
>> From: Stevan Harnad <[log in to unmask]>
>> To: [log in to unmask]
>> Sent: Friday, 26 October 2012, 18:59
>> Subject: OA Week: Testing the Finch Hypothesis on Green OA Mandate
>> Effectiveness
>>
>> In June 2012, the UK Finch Committee made the following statement:
>>
>> "The [Green OA] policies of neither research funders nor universities
>> themselves have yet had a major effect in ensuring that researchers make
>> their publications accessible in institutional repositories…" [Finch
>> Committee Recommendation, June 2012]
>>
>>
>> Testing the Finch Hypothesis
>> We have now tested the Finch Hypothesis. Using data from ROARMAP
>> institutional Green OA mandates and data from ROAR on institutional
>> repositories, we found that deposit number and rate is significantly
>> correlated with mandate strength (classified as 1-12): The stronger the
>> mandate, the more the deposits. The strongest mandates generate deposit
>> rates of  70%+ within 2 years of adoption, compared to the un-mandated
>> deposit rate of  20%. The effect is already detectable at the national
>> level, where the UK, which has the largest proportion of Green OA mandates,
>> has a national OA rate of 35%, compared to the global baseline of 25%.
>>
>> Conclusion
>> The conclusion is that, contrary to the Finch Hypothesis, Green Open
>> Access Mandates do have a major effect, and the stronger the mandate, the
>> stronger the effect (the Liege ID/OA mandate, linked to research performance
>> evaluation, being the strongest mandate model). RCUK (as well as all
>> universities, research institutions and research funders worldwide) would be
>> well advised to adopt the strongest Green OA mandates and to integrate
>> institutional and funder mandates.
>> The findings are in the link below. Discussion invited!
>> Gargouri, Yassine, Lariviere, Vincent, Gingras, Yves, Brody, Tim, Carr,
>> Les and Harnad, Stevan (2012) Testing the Finch Hypothesis on Green OA
>> Mandate Effectiveness. Open Access Week 2012
>>
>>
>>
>>
>
>