The Framingham heart study established these in abut 1978 from a very big
study.
I used them as part of the MONICA study in Northern Ireland about 1975.
But that's all I can remember.
Perhaps younger people will remember more!
I think I can might still have them in Fortran on a 5.25 inch floppy. But I
can't read it!
Tony
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Bibby" <[log in to unmask]>
To: <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Monday, January 30, 2012 11:56 AM
Subject: Equation predicting 10-year risk of cardiovascular disease
(10YRCARD) - where is it?
> My friendly GP nurse has told me I have 10YRCARD = 30% i.e. a 30% risk
> of developing cardiovascular disease over the next 10 years. I have
> been recommended statins for life, which will bring the 30% down to
> 23%.
>
> Can anybody point me please to the equations that will have been used
> to get these figures? (Risk-factors used seem to be age, smoking,
> alcohol, cholesterol, family history, weight, blood pressure and
> glucose intolerance.)
>
> Also, can anyone refer me to advice on side-effects of statins (if
> possible with statistics)?
>
> Thanks
>
> JOHN BIBBY
>
> PS: The above points are practical. The following is pedagogic: Kind
> friend says "10-year risk of 30% means that you probably won't get
> anything for 33.333333 years by which time you'll be a dead duck
> anyhow, so why worry?" Discuss.
>
> You may leave the list at any time by sending the command
>
> SIGNOFF allstat
>
> to [log in to unmask], leaving the subject line blank.
You may leave the list at any time by sending the command
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