Below is the title and abstract for this week's LJDM talk.
LJDM seminars are held Wednesdays at 5:00 in Room 313 at the UCL
Psychology Department, 26 Bedford Way WC1H 0AP.
The full schedule is at http://ljdm.info/talks.php
Wednesday, 25 May, 5 PM:
Dave Lagnado
UCL
Title: Stories & Statistics: what can the Sally Clark case
tell us about the psychology of evidential reasoning?
Sally Clark was convicted of murdering her two children, but
was eventually released after a lengthy legal process. This
case has had substantial repercussions in the legal
domain. In this talk I argue that the case also highlights
many issues in the psychology of evidential reasoning. These
include: the key role of causal reasoning; issues of witness
reliability; the interpretation of probabilistic evidence;
the role of stories and the attribution of blame. I will
discuss how these issues can be elucidated within a general
framework for evidential reasoning based on causal models.
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