ENVIRONMENTAL EXTREMES
A Royal Statistical Society meeting organised by the Environmental Statistics Section.
DATE: 10:30am - 4.30pm Thursday 2nd December 2010
VENUE: Royal Statistical Society, 12 Errol Street, London EC1Y 8LX.
SUMMARY:
For both statisticians and their scientific colleagues, this meeting will provide introductions to the statistics for analyzing extreme events along with research examples of their application within environmental science.
Full details are available at https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/filearea.cgi?LMGT1=ENVSTAT&a=get&f=/meet_1012.html
SPEAKERS AND PROGRAMME:
Anthony Davison (Ecole Poytechnique Federale de Lausanne) [11.00-12.30]
- Statistics of extremes: An overview
This first talk will sketch elements of statistics of extremes, including probability models and statistical inference for extremes of independent and dependent data, regression modelling and non-stationarity.
Jonathan Tawn (University of Lancaster) [13.30-14.15]
- An overview of Dependence Modelling in Multivariate Extremes
For problems where interest is estimation of the extremal behaviour of combinations of dependent variables, multivariate extreme theory provides a range of asymptotically motivated dependence measures and modelling approaches. In this talk we will outline the key existing methods and suggest a new approach that bridges the gap between the two most widely used.
Paul Northrop (University College London) [14.15-15.00]
- Marginal modelling of spatially-dependent non-stationary extremes using threshold modelling
It is common for environmental extremes to exhibit non-stationary behaviour. We consider the use of quantile regression to set a covariate-dependent threshold for extreme value modelling. As an example we present the marginal modelling of wave heights, for which adjustment for spatial dependence is necessary.
Anthony Davison (Ecole Poytechnique Federale de Lausanne) [15.20-16.30]
- Spatial extremes
The second talk will give an overview of models for spatial extreme-value modelling. Examples of application to data will be included.
REGISTRATION:
You need not be a member of the Royal Statistical Society to attend, but registration will be required.
Registration fees, which cover lunch and refreshments, are as follows:
Retired/Student Fellows £25
CStat/GradStat £30
Fellows £33
Members £37
None of the above £45
Registration forms can be downloaded from http://www.rss.org.uk/rssadmin/uploads/Registration%20form%20ESS%202%20Dec.doc
DIRECTIONS: <_http://www.rss.org.uk/pdf/RSSMap.pdf_>
Further details are available on the Environmental Statistics Section website https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/cgi-bin/filearea.cgi?LMGT1=ENVSTAT&a=get&f=/meet_1012.html
Please contact Ron Smith ([log in to unmask]) with any inquires.
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Richard Wilkinson
Lecturer in Statistics
School of Mathematical Sciences
University of Nottingham
Nottingham, NG7 2RD
[log in to unmask]
http://www.maths.nottingham.ac.uk/personal/pmzrdw/
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