Oli,
It's the net number of jobs that is important - assuming that low
carbon replaces high carbon, rather than just adding to the present
total. If the total number of people required increases (to deliver the
same power or service etc) then as we're a high-wage economy the costs
will go up substantially. Thus, as 'energy' (I'm thinking electricity
here) is a 'free market' - then guess where the major investment is
likely to go....?
To answer you question directly, I don't know of any truly independent
figures - it's all guesswork. It all depends on the economic model
assumptions. My guess - for what it's worth - is that no appreciable
number of 'new' jobs will be created.
Colin
--
Colin Axon,
Deputy-Director,
James Martin Institute for Carbon and Energy Reduction in Transport,
Thom Building,
Department of Engineering Science,
University of Oxford,
Parks Road,
OXFORD,
OX1 3PJ, U.K.
Tel: +44 (0)1865 273 004
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