Oxford Institute of Ageing
Michaelmas 2007 Semiar Series
Economic Analysis of Morbidity
12:30pm to 2:00pm
THIS WEEK'S INSTITUTE SEMINAR WILL BE HELD AT MANOR ROAD BUILDING - SEMINAR ROOM G - ON THURSDAY 22 NOVEMBER AT 12.30 - EVERYONE IS WELCOME.
A lifetime model of outcomes and costs for diabetes
Alastair Gray
Health Economics Research Centre, Univeristy of Oxford
Time: Thursday 22 November 12.30.
Alastair Gray was appointed Director of the Health Economics Research Centre, Division of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Oxford, in October 1996, and Professor of Health Economics in 2002. He has previously held appointments at the University of Aberdeen (where he completed his PhD), the Open University (where he was on the core team of the successful Health and Disease course) and the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. He teaches and supervises undergraduate and graduate students, and on HERC short courses in Oxford and abroad. He has acted as adviser to the WHO and other agencies.
Simulation models are increasingly used in economic evaluation of health care interventions to predict long-term costs and outcomes from shorter-term data. In diabetes care in particular, substantial effors have been made to construct such models. This seminar will describe the development of one such model, the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study Outcomes Model, and its performance in comparison with other models in this area. It will also review the range of uses to which such models can be put, including cost-effectiveness analysis, decision tools for clinicians and patients, and to inform others intersted in life expectancy, for instance in the impaired annuities markets.
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