Call for Papers
Ecological Complexity http://ees.elsevier.com/ecocom/ is pleased to
announce a special issue on:
Environmental micro-simulation: From data approximation to theory
assessment
Guest Editors
Tal Svoray, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, [log in to unmask]
Itzhak Benenson, Tel Aviv University, [log in to unmask]
Spatial micro-simulation has recently become a mainstream element in
environmental studies. Essentially, different models, representing the
same phenomena, are being extensively published and the “next step” sought
is hypothesis testing, regarding the factors that determine system
dynamics.
However, the problem arises that assessment of environmental theories
using spatial micro-simulation lacks a leading paradigm. While the Occam’s
razor of positivism, which works perfectly in physics and chemistry,
demands datasets covering the entire space of model parameters, the
experimental abilities of environmentalists are limited and the data
collected in the field represent only a small part of the always multi-
dimensional parameter space. Consequently, any given model can be
considered as merely approximating the few data sets available for
verification and its theoretical validity is thus brought into question.
To overcome this limitation, we propose to generate a virtual world that
will allow hypothesis testing based on environmental theory. That is, we
propose to implement micro-simulation models using high-resolution GIS
database and use them as a surrogate for reality, instead of the limited
empirical database. GIS enables a realistically looking virtual world to
be generated that, unlike the real one, provides the parameters
characteristic of every trajectory. The almost unlimited data that can be
generated from such a virtual world can then be used to assess our ability
to extract rules and dependencies, estimate parameters and, finally, make
applicable forecasts.
This special issue will focus on investigating models as representations
of environmental theory with the help of a combination of real data and
artificial worlds. We invite innovative research papers that employ
different high-resolution models for generating virtual worlds, comparing
them to each other, with the aim being to develop a better understanding
of environmental theory. Examples can be studies of a model’s robustness,
a comparative study of dynamic models, investigation of the limitations of
data fitting methods and of a model’s sensitivity to changes in spatial
and temporal resolution.
Scope
All sorts of micro-simulation, including cellular automata, agent-based
systems, fuzzy systems, ANN and genetic algorithms, are welcome. The
environmental systems of interest include, but are not limited, to:
• Complex ecosystems
• Landscape ecology
• Terrain analysis and landscape evolution
• Agriculture and pastoralism
• Human-environment interaction
• Land-use and land-cover changes
• Urban dynamics
Submission instructions
Abstracts of 2 pages in length should be submitted to the Guest Editors by
July 1, 2007. The review process of those abstracts considered to be the
most relevant will continue and authors will be required to upload the
full manuscript to the Ecological Complexity website by November 1, 2007.
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