All the information regarding the Central England monthly temperature
record since 1659 is on the Met Office web site, from which it can be
downloaded. It is a fascinating record and it indicates to me that though
there is no doubt about global warming which is also seen to some extent in
the Central England record, there is a lot of variability from one season
to another, from one year to another, and from one decade to another. When
you remove all this variability ( 1 season to decades ) you then see the
warming clearly. My own view is that though we have a good understanding of
the global warming, we have a poor understanding of the expected
variability of our future climate. This view comes also from chaos dynamics
( the atmosphere and oceans are both chaotic systems, and these are two of
most dynamic parts of the climate system).
Neil
>The complete absence of winter in England so far must be pretty
>unprecedented - I would class it as significant an event as the heatwave
>of 2003. But I'm not a meteorological scientist, just a human being, so
>perhaps my opinions don't count.
>
>Chris
>
>
>----- Original Message ----- From: "Aubrey Meyer"
><[log in to unmask]>
>To: <[log in to unmask]>
>Sent: Sunday, January 07, 2007 6:50 PM
>Subject: Re: 72 degrees in New York!
>
>
>>Stewed Apple!
>>
>>At 18:56 07/01/2007, Mark Levene wrote:
>>>dear forumers,
>>>
>>>something grotesque for you to chew on....I have just been speaking to a
>>>good friend in New York. The temperature there yesterday was 72 degrees F.
>>>
>>>The papers are apparently putting it down to an El Nino effect.... and
>>>everybody is apparently enjoying the balmy warmth of it all...
>>>
>>>I felt ill on hearing the news, but I thought you all might like to know...
>>>
>>>aberration??????
>>>(I think not)
>>>
>>>mark
>>
>>Aubrey Meyer
>>Director
>>Global Commons Institute [GCI]
>>37 Ravenswood Road
>>LONDON E17 9LY
>>UK
>>
>>Phone 00 44 (0)208 520 4742
>>email [log in to unmask]
>>web http://www.gci.org.uk
>>
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