Can anyone help with this query?
Chris
-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Return period storm events in Bangladesh
Date: Sun, 19 Feb 2006 21:53:49 -0000
From: Jonathan Essex - yahoo <[log in to unmask]>
Reply-To: <[log in to unmask]>
To: 'Chris Keene' <[log in to unmask]>
Chris,
Following on from your email today (thanks for that) I have a question
that is just back of an envelope calculations for me at the moment but
would be great to be verified by proper academic research.
My quick checks (based on checking over hydrographic modelling for
bridges over large rivers in Bangladesh) suggests that a one metere rise
in sea level would turn a 1:50 to 1:100 year storm event in Bangladesh
into a 1:1 to 1:2 year return period event. It would be good to have
this academically verified so it could be quoted and see not so much how
much land would be put under water by a 1,2,5m rise in sea level
worldwide (know this is not even but assume to be for simplicity?) but
how much land is at risk of flooding for 1:1, 1:10, and 1:100 return
period storm events. This could be used to present the data in the EU
green party climate policy statement in relative disaster pictures.
Is this possible? Do you know who I might send this too, or could you
forward it?
Cheers, Jonathan
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