At 17:51 08/06/2006 +0200, Magne Aldrin wrote:
>Those of you that are interested in football in addition to
>statistics may have a look at the web-page
>http://vm.nr.no
>containing winner probabilities for each team during the FIFA World
>Cup in Germany. The probabilities will be updated daily during the
>tournament. The probabilities are based on a Poisson model. The
>model is estimated by maximizing a penalized and robustified
>Poisson-likelihood, based on expert opinions before the tournament
>starts and the match results during the tournament.
Why not simply use betting odds? http://www.oddschecker.com
Regards
Martin
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