4th Edinburgh Risk Conference
RISK: Analysis, Assessment and Management, Management 
School Edinburgh University 29th-31st March 2006

REGISTRATION FORM AND PROVISIONAL 
PROGRAMME

Conference Administrator: Nicola Jackson

Communication Address: Dr Jake Ansell, Risk Conference, 
Management School, William Robertson Building, 50 George 
Square, Edinburgh University, EH8 9JY.
Tel No 0131 650 3806, Fax 0131 668 3053, e-mail 
[log in to unmask] < mailto:[log in to unmask] > 

Social Programme

There will be a welcome reception on the evening of 29th 
March 2006 and conference dinner on 30th March 2006. 

Accommodation

Accommodation will be in standard or en-suite University 
residences, or alternatively information on hotels and guest- 
houses can be provided.

Submission of Papers

Acceptance of contributed papers will be on the basis of a 
single A4-page abstract which must reach the local organisers 
by 15th November 2005.

They should be sent either to e-mail [log in to unmask] < 
mailto:[log in to unmask] > or alternative on 3.5-inch disk 
to Dr Jake Ansell at the conference address.

Authors will be notified by e-mail by 15th December 2005 of 
acceptance and final full paper should be sent by 15th February 
2006.

Conference Fees (VAT Exempt)

Conference fee covers includes finger buffet on 29th March 
2006, coffee/tea and lunch on 30th and 31st March 2006 and 
Conference Dinner on 30th March 2006.

Conference fee

 Academic and RSS Fellows: £210
 Non-Academics: £250
 Research Students: £165

Residential fee (Bed & Breakfast at Pollock Halls, The 
University of Ediburgh for nights of 29th and 30th March 
2006)

 Standard £58
 En-suite £90

Late Registration fee for applications received later than 1st 
March.

All payments must be made before the Conference (unless 
otherwise arranged with Conference Administrator). Payments 
may be made by cheque or by cash by 1st March 2006 to avoid 
late registration fee. All payments to be made in pounds 
sterling.
4th Edinburgh Risk Conference
RISK: Analysis, Assessment and Management Management 
School Edinburgh University 29th – 31st March 2006

APPLICATION FORM


To be returned to Dr Jake Ansell, Management School, 
William Robertson Building, University of Edinburgh, 50 
George Square, Edinburgh, EH8 9JY, Fax 0131 668 3053, e-
mail: [log in to unmask] 

SURNAME ................................FORENAME 
......................................TITLE.............

JOB TITLE ……………………………

ORGANISATION (including full address) 
...................................................................

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.ADDRESS FOR CORRESPONDENCE (if different from 
above) ............................

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TEL No ……………………. FAX No ..............................E-
MAIL ............................

Please tick your requirements and complete the total cost: £


 
 Conference Fee ...........


 Residential Fee (Bed and Breakfast for 29th and 30th 
March)...........


 Late Registration Fee ...........

Total Cost ...........


 Payment Enclosed


 Invoice Required

SPECIAL DIETARY REQUIREMENTS 
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SIGNATURE 
...........................................................................DATE 
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PAYMENT: All cheques should be made payable to ‘The 
University of Edinburgh’ and sent to Dr Jake Ansell at above 
address.

Programme for Risk Management Conference

Wednesday 29th March
7.00pm onwards: Social Event
Thursday 30th March – Graduate Management School, Bristo 
Square

10.00 am: Welcome
10.15 am: Keynote Speaker
11.00 am: Precautionary Principle As Guide in Facing Extreme 
Events
    Marcello Basili
11.30 am: Ambiguity Seeking as a Result of Status Quo Bias
    M Roc, RM Hogarth and AJ Maule
12.00 am: Lunch
  1.00 pm: Comparing groups of reliability data with zero or 
few failures
    FPA Coolen and P Coolen-Schrijner
  1.30 pm: Diagnosing Faults in Systems Using a Fault Tree 
Based method
    EE Hurdle, LM Barlett and JD Andrews
    2.00 pm: Modelling of an Aircraft Flight Using the Cause-
    Consequence Diagram
    Method
    G Vyzaite, S Dunnett, JD Andrews and G 
    Tearle
  2.30 pm: Tea/Coffee
  3.00 pm: Workshop
  5.00 pm: Close
  7.20 pm: Reception, Reaburn Room, Old College
  8.00 pm: Conference Dinner, Reaburn Room, Old College
Friday 31st March – Graduate Management School, Bristo 
Square
  9.30 am: Comparison of Measures of Default for SMEs
    S Lin, J Ansell and G Andreeva
10.00 am: Forecasting Volatility of Competitive Models in 
Daily Risk Management:
    Evidence from Foreign Exchange Markets
    J Liu
10.30 am: Tea/Coffee
11.00 am: Sequential Decision Making with Adaptive Utilities
    B Houlding and FPA Coolen
11.30 am: Uncertainty Factors in Ecological Risk Assessment
    P Craig
12.00 am: The new approach to analysis active-on-demand 
system involving
    dependencies
    H Sun and JD Andrews
12.30 pm: Lunch 
  1.30 pm: International Comparison of Retail Performance 
Measurement 
    Y-C Hu and J Ansell
  2.00 pm: Bayesian Fund Management Performance
    Y Fan and J Ansell
  2.30 pm: Firm Risk and Corporate Governance
		J Shin and J Ansell
  3.00 pm: Closing Remarks
  3.15 pm: Tea/Coffee