January Meeting
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The next meeting of the South Wales local group will be on Wednesday 25th January at 5pm (Tea 4.30pm) in Room 2.054, Office for National Statistics, Cardiff Road, Newport. Please park in visitors' spaces and report to reception. Location map is at: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/about_ns/locations/onsmaps.asp
Suzanne Hall, MORI
Perceptions and Trust in Official Statistics
Abstract
This presentation will summarise some research undertaken for the Statistics Commission - which won an award for the researchers.
Users of official statistics can be divided into two groups, opinion formers and the general public. The perceptions and trust in the two groups differs significantly but the data needs to be used with confidence. Key drivers of confidence are examined and which people are trusted. The results of this research contributed to the Chancellor's announcement that the Office of National Statistics is to become independent.
February Meeting
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The February meeting will be on Wednesday 22nd at the Pathology Seminar Room (LHS), Block B, 1st Floor, Main Hospital Building, University Hospital of Wales, Heath Park, Cardiff at 5pm (4.30 tea). Directions available from Rebecca Cannings email: [log in to unmask]
Location: http://www.cardiff.ac.uk/locations/maps/heathpark/index.html
Nicky Best, Dept of Epidemiology & Public Health, Imperial College London
The inquiring mind of the statistician - the Bristol and Shipman cases
Abstract
In this talk, I will discuss some of the statistical work I was involved in for the Bristol Royal Infirmary and Shipman Inquiries. In both cases, we used routine data sources to provide statistical evidence of unusual performance. This poses a number of statistical issues such as how to account for multiple sources of random and systematic variation in the data, and how to formally define 'unusual performance'. For the Shipman Inquiry, we also investigated the feasibility of establishing a prospective system for monitoring mortality rates in General Practice using routine data. This talk aims to present these issues and our findings in a (reasonably!) non-technical manner.
All are welcome to both meetings.
Rebecca Cannings-John
Statistician
Cardiff University
Department of General Practice
Room 2F 15
Cardigan House
Wales College of Medicine
Heath Park
Cardiff
CF14 4XN
Tel: 029 2074 5105
www.uwcm.ac.uk/study/medicine/general_practice
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