From: INT [mailto:[log in to unmask]]
Sent: 26 November 2004 11:32
To: [log in to unmask]
Subject: INT, n. 449 FL
INTELLIGENCE ISSN 1245-2122
N. 449, 15 November 2004
Every Two to Three Weeks
Next issue, 7 December 2004
Publishing since 1980
Editor
Olivier Schmidt
([log in to unmask];
http://perso.wanadoo.fr/intelligence-adi)
A one year subscription (19 issues with full index)
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TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 449, 15 November 2004
FRONT PAGE
NETHERLANDS - A VERY DUTCH JIHAD p.1
TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES
TIMELINE FROM 25 OCTOBER TO 14 NOVEMBER p.2
SERIOUS MILITARY TECH TROUBLE BETWEEN BRITS & EU p.3
CCTV CAMERAS AS A POLITICAL SURVEILLANCE TOOL p.4
PEOPLE
USA - ALBERTO GONZALES p.5
GREAT BRITAIN - PATRICK MERCER p.6
- IAN BLAIR p.7
AGENDA
COMING EVENTS THROUGH 31 DECEMBER 2004 p.8
INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD
USA - FEITH'S COUNTERTERRORISM EVALUATION GROUP p.9
- BUSH-II "PUNISHES" UNITED NATIONS p.10
- MEDIA OPS, BEFORE & AFTER BUSH RE-ELECTION p.11
- VOTING ON VALUES, TERROR & THE ECONOMY p.12
- CIA'S NEW POWERS & OLD PROBLEMS p.13
- DOD AT GUANTANAMO, AL QAQAA & HALLIBURTON p.14
- FBI AVOIDING "BAD PRESS" p.15
GREAT BRITAIN - BLAIR DECEIVED MPS ABOUT IRAQ p.16
- INTELLIGENCE AS PUBLIC RELATIONS TOOL p.17
- "SON OF STAR WARS" BACK WITH BUSH-II p.18
IRELAND - "BUDGET" EMERGES FROM WPP OBSCURITY p.19
WESTERN EUROPE - Spain & Great Britain. p.20
RUSSIA - SPY WARS WITH THE BRITS & EUROPE p.21
EASTERN EUROPE - SLOVAKIA, RUSSIA & CHECHNYA p.22
SOUTH AFRICA - SMOOTH INTEL OVERSIGHT TRANSITION p.23
ISRAEL/PALESTINE - YASSER ARAFAT DIES IN FRANCE p.24
IRAQ - "WORSE THAN THE USUAL BAD NEWS" p.25
IRAN - NO US-ISRAEL "FREE HAND" p.26
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 1
NETHERLANDS
A VERY DUTCH JIHAD
The murder of Dutch film-maker, Theo van Gogh, in Amsterdam on
2 November, has highlighted the lack of communication -- a key
element of basic inter-agency cooperation -- between the Dutch
Algemene Inlichtingen-en Veiligheidsdienst (AIVD) security and
intelligence service, the Nationale Recherche (NR) criminal
investigation service and the Korps Landelijke Politiediensten
(KLPD) association which represents local and regional police
forces.
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 9
USA
FEITH'S COUNTERTERRORISM EVALUATION GROUP
With George W. Bush re-elected president of the US, the major
media quickly switched to speculating about the future, often
mentioning the possibility of a less conflictual presidency.
Some reports even went to the length of once again using the
ridiculed term of "compassionate conservatives" to describe the
Bush-II White House. But the "nitty gritty" of Bush-II was
already under way and two "holdover" themes have become
obvious: the Bush-II White House will continue to try to
"punish" the United Nations and France for refusing to justify
the invasion of Iraq and systematically show that the Bush-I
White House's excuses for that invasion were false.
On 10 November, citing the BBC and AP, the UN announced very
diplomatically, "Location of nuclear fusion reactor still in
dispute", adding that the six nations participating in plans to
build the world's biggest nuclear fusion reactor "had yet to
break their deadlock over whether to locate the facility in
Japan or France", when it is only the Bush White House -- an
one of its few Iraqi-invasion allies, Japan - that are refusing
the general consensus that the best choice would be France. The
same day, the European Union had said it was hopeful the
location issue could be resolved despite the breakdown in talks
on the $12 billion project, but specialists expect Bush-II to
reinforce its implicit veto against France.
As for "punishing" the United Nations, the hard-time US
conservative dailies, "Washington Times" and "Wall Street
Journal", seem to have taken up the fight in the name of Bush-
II and are publishing systematic attacks against the UN by
concentrating on the supposed "oil-for-food" program for Iraq,
a subject treated previously in "Intelligence" (INT, "USA -
'Git the UN' Turns Against Bush & Right-Wing", n. 448 8; "USA -
'Git the UN' Becoming GOP & NYT Policy", n. 447 13) and also in
a separate article in this issue.
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 12
USA
VOTING ON VALUES, TERROR & THE ECONOMY
The "Los Angeles Times" (1103, The National Fissure Remains
Deep and Wide, Ronald Brownstein) came up with what was
probably one of the most pertinent analyses of the 2 November
presidential election, following a survey of 5,154 voters as
they exited 136 polling places across the nation, including
3,333 California voters as they exited 50 polling places across
the state. The questionnaire included the following question:
"What issues, if any, were most important to you in deciding
how you would vote for president today?"
The results among Bush voters were: Moral/ethical values 52%;
Jobs/the economy 18%; Terrorism/homeland security 45%;
Situation in Iraq 11%. Among Kerry voters, the results were:
Moral/ethical values 26%; Jobs/the economy 47%;
Terrorism/homeland security 13%; Situation in Iraq 21%.
Different people worry about different things, but this
particular result provides an excellent characterization of the
"deep split" most commentators have been mentioning since the
election.
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 14
USA
DOD AT GUANTANAMO, AL QAQAA & HALLIBURTON
For Donald Rumsfeld's Pentagon, the past two weeks have not
brought "good press" as the "legal" framework of Guantanamo
falls apart, the world discovers the empty Al Qaqaa arms cache
in Iraq and discredits the DOD explanation, and the FBI gets
interested in DOD-Halliburton transactions. Guantanamo
developments started with the "Independent" announcing (1023,
Three Guantanamo "Judges" Removed Due to Pentagon Bias, Andrew
Buncombe) that three members of the military panel established
to hear the cases of Guantanamo Bay prisoners have been removed
because of concerns about their lack of impartiality. But the
officer acting as the senior "judge", Colonel Peter Brownback,
who has close links to the Pentagon official overseeing the
hearings, has been allowed to retain his job, but for how long?
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 15
USA
FBI AVOIDING "BAD PRESS"
The past fortnight's FBI news has not included any significant
"bad press" for the Bureau and even a "claim to fame" as it
opens an investigation of US Army Corps of Engineers for not
respecting legal obligations in giving Vice President Dick
Cheney's Halliburton a lucrative no-bid contract: 1028 AP, FBI
Investigates Halliburton's No-Bid Contracts, John Solomon.: FBI
agents this week sought permission to interview Bunnatine
Greenhouse, the Army Corps of Engineers' chief contracting
officer who went public last weekend with allegations that her
agency unfairly awarded KBR, a Halliburton subsidiary, no-bid
contracts worth billions of dollars for work in Iraq, according
to documents obtained by the Associated Press.
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 16
GREAT BRITAIN
BLAIR DECEIVED MPS ABOUT IRAQ
The former International Development Secretary, Clare Short,
has accused Prime Minister Tony Blair, of deliberately
deceiving MPs and the public about the circumstances leading up
to the war with Iraq in her recently published book, "An
Honourable Deception?" (Simon & Schuster, London, Nov. 2004).
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 17
GREAT BRITAIN
INTELLIGENCE AS PUBLIC RELATIONS TOOL
The former deputy director of the Defence Intelligence Staff
(DIS), John Morrison, has accused the Blair administration of
using intelligence as a "PR tool" as part of the government's
"culture of news management" ever since the Labour Party's
landslide victory in the 1997 general election.
Morrison, a senior intelligence analyst and highly-respected
Whitehall civil servant with the rank of undersecretary at the
Ministry of Defence (MoD), retired from the DIS in 1999 to
become a part-time investigator, on a contract basis, for the
all-party parliamentary Security and Intelligence Committee
(ISC). On a BBC TV "Panorama" current affairs program last
July, Morrison criticized the government's misuse of
intelligence, including the Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC)
dossier signed-off by the former JIC chairman and current MI6
director, John Scarlett, which contained the deliberately
misleading 45-minute WMD threat, used by Blair in the House of
Commons to justify the war in Iraq.
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 23
SOUTH AFRICA
SMOOTH INTEL OVERSIGHT TRANSITION
South Africa's official opposition, the Democratic Alliance
(DA), has appointed a senior lawyer to be its representative to
the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Intelligence, Advocate
Paul Swart. The Soviet-trained Intelligence Minister, Ronnie
Kasrils, is reportedly pleased, as are the directors and
managers of the South African Secret Service (SASS) responsible
for foreign operations and their domestic counterpart, the
National Intelligence Agency (NIA).
Swart has no background in intelligence or counter-
intelligence, and has obtained the post and a smooth security
vetting for being a jurist not likely to ask tough questions.
Much of the committee's work is sanitized with little or no
depth of detail outside the constitutional need to refer its
budgetary recommendations to Parliament. Last year, it failed
to question the decision by the intelligence agencies to not
submit to the public the constitutionally-mandated guidelines
on information requests. Both NIA and SASS are loath to make
any of their records available, even to those entitled to see
and retain them under the Open Democracy Act.
...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------
AGENDA
Intelligence, N. 449, 15 November 2004, p. 8
COMING EVENTS THROUGH 31 DECEMBER 2004
Call for Papers, 4th Conference on Security and Network
Architectures (SAR'05) Batz sur Mer, France, 6-10 June 2005,
www-lor.int-evry.fr/sar05/
15-16 November, Arlington, Virginia, Intelligence, Surveillance
and Reconnaissance (ISR) 2004 - Enabling Precision Strike,
www.defensenews.com/conferences/isr
16-17 November, Pasadena, California, American Astronautical
Society (AAS), 2004 National Conference, www.aas.org.
16-18 November, Monterey, California, 2004 Missile Sciences
Conference, [log in to unmask]
16-18 November, Woodland Hills, California, US Air Force
Developmental Test & Evaluation Summit,
www.aiaa.org/events/dtesummit
16-19 November, Charleston, South Carolina, NDIA, Targets,
UAV's and Range Operations Symposium, www.ndia.org
19 November, deadline for submissions for IEEE Dependable
Systems and Networks conference, 28 June-1 July 2005, in
Yokohama, Japan, www.dsn.org/
25 November, Budapest, Hungary, 2004 Big Brother Awards
Hungary, hu.bigbrotherawards.org
29 November-2 December, Orlando, Florida, 24th US Army Science
Conference, "Transformational Science and Technology for the
Current and Future Force", www.asc2004.com
29 November-3 December, Dallas, Texas, IEEE Globecom Wireless
Ad hoc and Sensor Networks, [log in to unmask]
30 November-1 December, Monterey, California, NDIA, Aircraft
Survivability 2004 - Surviving in the Networked Battlespace",
www.ndia.org.
6 December, Capetown, South Africa, Africa Electronic Privacy
and Public Voice Symposium, "The Public Voice",
www.thepublicvoice.org/events/capetown04
6-10 December, Tucson, Arizona, Applied Computer Security
Associates, 20th Annual Computer Security Applications
Conference, www.acsac.org.
8 December, London, British Institute of International and
Comparative Law Data Protection Research and Policy Group,
National Security, Law Enforcement and Data Protection,
www.biicl.org
8 December, Washington, National Guard Association US (NGAUS),
Eighth Annual Industry Day, [log in to unmask]
16-17 December, Paris, Armed Forces Communications &
Electronics Association (AFCEA), Battlespace Digitisation -
Reality & Trends, www.afcea.org.
---------------------------------------------
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