JiscMail Logo
Email discussion lists for the UK Education and Research communities

Help for CRIT-GEOG-FORUM Archives


CRIT-GEOG-FORUM Archives

CRIT-GEOG-FORUM Archives


CRIT-GEOG-FORUM@JISCMAIL.AC.UK


View:

Message:

[

First

|

Previous

|

Next

|

Last

]

By Topic:

[

First

|

Previous

|

Next

|

Last

]

By Author:

[

First

|

Previous

|

Next

|

Last

]

Font:

Proportional Font

LISTSERV Archives

LISTSERV Archives

CRIT-GEOG-FORUM Home

CRIT-GEOG-FORUM Home

CRIT-GEOG-FORUM  April 2003

CRIT-GEOG-FORUM April 2003

Options

Subscribe or Unsubscribe

Subscribe or Unsubscribe

Log In

Log In

Get Password

Get Password

Subject:

The war of occupation - AIJAZ AHMAD

From:

David Mcknight <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

David Mcknight <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Tue, 1 Apr 2003 18:23:26 +0100

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (509 lines)

The war of occupation

AIJAZ AHMAD 

Analysing the mechanics of the outrage, the objectives and strategies behind
the build-up, and the likely consequences.

Frontline online
Vol:20 Iss:07 URL: 
http://www.flonnet.com/fl2007/stories/20030411005401300.htm
------------------------------------------------------------------------



THE expected, the dreaded, the unspeakable has begun. The Anglo-American
axis has waged a wanton war of destruction and starvation against Iraq and
its people for well over a decade now. What has begun now is the new and
climactic phase that turns it into a war of full-scale occupation. Already,
as this is being written on the fourth day of the war, Baghdad has suffered
the worst bombings in human history: a thousand cruise missiles dropped on a
city in one night. When the authors of the so-called "Shock & Awe" strategy
proposed that Baghdad be hit by 800 cruise missiles on the first two days,
they said that this level of intensity of bombing would have the same effect
as that of the atom bomb at Hiroshima. In that one night alone, the
"Hiroshima effect" was exceeded by 200 additional cruise missiles. A night
of relatively - only relatively - lighter bombing followed. Together, during
the two nights, U.S. aircraft flew one thousand bombing sorties, in addition
to remote-controlled missile attacks from land- and sea-based launchers.
More cruise hurricanes are in the offing.


The bizarre fact is that the targets themselves - the presidential palace,
the headquarters of the Defence Ministry and the intelligence services, the
houses of Saddam Hussein's family, and so on - make no military sense. They
must have been evacuated long ago. The intent is simply to terrorise the
population, to demonstrate that if the most majestic buildings in the city
can go up in balls of fire and sky-high splinters of debris, then every one
of the inhabitants of the city can also meet the same fate unless they flee
or surrender immediately. What the Americans want is that by the time their
Marines walk into it, this city of five to six million people - until
recently one of the proudest and most prosperous cities of the Arab world -
become a city of corpses and ghosts. American lives are too precious for the
more familiar kinds of urban warfare.

So transparent is this intent to terrorise that even the phalanxes of
so-called experts and strategists who have been lining up in the studios of
the TV channels have taken to calling it "psychological warfare", as if
thousands of cruise missiles raining down on a city has the same effect as
the dropping of leaflets. One has been quite used to this kind of gibberish
on CNN, which has long served as an echo chamber of the Pentagon. But the
BBC too seems to have undergone an overnight transformation and it has now
taken up a position somewhat to the right of CNN. A poor man's CNN as it
were! 

Most of the real news about the war now comes from the alternative media
assembled by anti-war groupings on the Net, through their websites and
server lists. It is only there, for example, that one learns that the three
helicopters that came down, accounting for about 40 deaths among the U.S.
and British military personnel, were indeed shot down and not lost in
accidents, as the invading axis has claimed. Only from this other media does
one learn that people have defied their tyrannical governments throughout
the Arab world and directly clashed with the police all the way from Yemen
and Bahrain to Cairo and Amman; that three people were shot and killed in
Yemen during these demonstrations; that militant sermons are being delivered
not just by jehadi elements in the Muslim world but also throughout the
world of the traditionally and historically pacificist Islam, all the way
from Al-Azhar, the prestigious and sedate seminary of Sunni Islam, to the
mosques of Mecca and Medina in Saudi Arabia, otherwise so savagely
controlled by the monarchical clients of the U.S.

The dominant electronic media, on the other hand, has shied away from
telling us any of that, or that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the supreme Iranian
religious leader, has used the word "satanic" for the U.S. designs (he had
abandoned such language after Ayatollah Khomeini's death); or that not only
China but also President Megawati Sukarnoputri of Indonesia as well
Malaysia's Acting Prime Minister Abdullah Ahmad Badawi have said that, in
Megawati's words, "the use of military action against Iraq is an act of
aggression which is against international law."

It is not from the big-business media that we can learn that every city in
Greece has been rocked by demonstrations, or that 200,000 people marched in
Athens in the largest rally in a generation; or that over 100,000 marched in
Paris or that close to a hundred thousand did so in Berlin while every other
city of any consequence in Germany had rallies; or that a notable feature of
these rallies is the participation of tens of thousands of schoolchildren
holding placards that read: "Not in Our Name." Only from the website of
CounterPunch magazine did one learn that the number of arrested persons in
San Francisco exceeded 1,400, and that helicopters whirred over the city
while the police beat up demonstrators across town throughout the day.


The staid print media have become so disoriented that the morning's
electronic edition of The Guardian says in its headlines that 200,000 people
marched in London and New York, but in the detailed story the number rapidly
dwindles to 100,000 in London and 20,000 in New York. That same feat of
taking off a zero to reduce the actual size of the rally to one-tenth of it
was achieved by the police in Milan where a march of some 150,000 was
declared to have drawn only 15,000. It took CNN well over 24 hours even to
start coming clean and devote a couple of minutes to the actual magnitude of
the London demonstration (half a million people, according to the
organisers; 200,000 as conceded by the police) or the demonstration in New
York (estimated at 200,000). All this on the fourth day of the Baghdad
bombings, in hurriedly organised events.

From a media that either simply ignore the protests or rely mainly on police
estimates, we shall never know of the size of the turnouts from Turin to
Melbourne and from Sydney to Karachi, nor of the persistence of this
turbulence, the ebb and flow of it, day after day as the war grinds on. Yet,
so irrepressible is the reality that recognition of it comes from surprising
quarters. The choicest quote of the day comes from someone called Stan Goff,
a retired U.S. Special Forces Master Sergeant, who joined the U.S. armed
forces in 1970 and left in 1996, was a tactics instructor at the Jungle
Operations Training Centre in Panama, and taught Military Science at
America's war college at West Point: "This hasn't been an easy time for Bush
and his killer clowns. It hasn't been an easy time for a lot of so-called
liberals either. An anti-war movement came onto the scene, and not just any
anti-war movement. It is now the fastest and broadest international movement
of its type in history. It involves anarcho-kids, olde tyme lefties, and
pacifists to be sure, but it also involves soccer moms, Black preachers,
Italian dock workers, women who write books, nerds, doctors, Indian garment
workers, Nigerian intellectuals, Brazilian coffee pickers, Japanese
students, Haitian peasants, Filipino street cleaners... every damn body!"

As the BBC itself becomes to CNN what Blair has become to Bush, the crisis
of the Anglo-American liberals, and their dominant media in particular,
becomes increasingly more palpable. While the London march was in full
swing, all one got on the BBC was an aerial shot lasting about five seconds,
before it resumed its cheerleading of the invaders. One can hardly expect
from such a media the information that far from being a lone voice,
individuals like the retired U.S. Special Forces Master Sergeant whose words
are quoted here is among a very large number of right-wing super-hawks in
the U.S. who are outside the charmed circle of Bush's happy genocidists and
who believe that the project of planetary conquest that these genocidists
are pursuing is unsustainable, contrary to America's own national security
interests, and contrary perhaps even to the larger interests of the
Republican Party itself which might lose its lustre if the war does not go
the way it is envisioned to go. This domesticated and paid-for dominant
media are doing their utmost to suppress the fact that America's chief
terrorism expert, an assistant to Condoleeza Rice, resigned in disgust from
his post at the National Security Council as the first bombs fell on
Baghdad. And it has simply not told us that three U.S. diplomats have
resigned already, or that army chaplains are reporting large-scale
disaffection with the war aims among the soldiery itself. It will not tell
us that Hans Blix, the U.N.'s former Chief Weapons Inspector, who rendered
such sterling service to the U.S. by destroying what little remained of
Iraq's defensive capabilities - notably the Al-Samoud missiles and the
attendant delivery systems - now says that the U.S. was always "impatient to
go to war", had no interest from the outset in peaceful disarmament, and
provided the inspectors information that was sloppy or false. Blix's
colleague, Joern Siljeholm, who lives in the U.S. but cannot get a hearing
from the U.S. media, told the Norwegian newspaper Dagbladet about Colin
Powell's claims at the Security Council: "It did not match up at all with
our information. The whole speech was misleading... Much of what has been
claimed about WMDs [weapons of mass destruction] has proven to be sheer
nonsense." One will never hear this on the BBC or CNN, which are as much a
part of the "psychological warfare" as is the raining down of the cruise
missiles on Baghdad and Mosul.

TODAY, the fourth day of the war, even these cheerleaders on the BBC and CNN
have come under pressure on three counts. First, the sheer size of the
opposition is so great and so very, very widespread across the globe that
the media would lose all its credibility if they were to ignore this
continuing anti-war upsurge. Far from subsiding after the great global
uprising of February 15, which brought perhaps as many as 15 million
marchers to the streets of the world, the anti-war movement is picking up
again, growing more militant, recruiting new marchers, especially among the
young and the very young. Incidents of street fighting between protesters
and the police are being reported from across the world, from New York to
Brussels and from Bahrain to Mexico City. This resurgence can no longer be
ignored. 

Secondly, many of the myths that the American disinformation agencies had
cooked up are getting exposed. Three hundred cruise missiles, thousands of
bombing sorties, to "shock and awe", and yet there has been no exodus of
people out of Baghdad. Four days of armour-and-infantry race into the Shia
zones of eastern Iraq, which was said to have been just waiting for the
Anglo-American liberators, and no one has come forward to greet them and not
even the smallest town has yet fully fallen to this greatest power in human
history: instead, a battered and starving people are just holding out. The
small town of Nasiriyah, which the invaders claimed to have captured two
days ago, was still fighting.

And, third, while every claim made by Iraq has either been proven to be
correct or judged to be credible, stories put out by the Anglo-American axis
are proving to be wrong. It claimed that the 51st Division had surrendered,
then said it was a battalion, then said it was the Commander of the brigade,
then again the full brigade - but failed to produce material evidence. It
was obviously a lie, or in more polite language, "disinformation". They
claimed that certain towns had fallen, which have not. A grenade attack on
an infantry encampment could not be denied; so they put out the story that a
temporarily deranged American soldier had himself done it. When the first
helicopter was shot down, they said it was an accident. When two of the
United Kingdom's finest, newest helicopters were shot down, they said the
helicopters had collided by accident. When the Royal Air Force (RAF) lost a
plane, they first remained silent for some hours, then said that a U.S.
missile had shot it down by mistake. They announced that the little border
town of Umm Qasr had been captured, and that Basra, the second largest city
after Baghdad, was about to fall. Twenty-four hours later, Umm Qasr was
still holding out and Basra, which sustained such heavy bombings in the city
centre that 77 civilians were killed and 366 injured in one night, was so
far from falling that another story was put out saying that the city had
just been surrounded and bypassed. Meanwhile, again, there has not been so
far any exodus of people out of Basra despite all the aerial bombings and
the ground attack, and despite the fact that its predominantly Shia
population was supposed to be just waiting to rise to greet the
Anglo-American `liberators'.

Faced with these pressures of a resurgent mass anti-war movement, as well as
the myths and lies of the invading forces, even the dominant media have
begun now to distance themselves somewhat from their assigned role as merely
an echo chamber of the war-mongering officialdom. The BBC has brought in at
least one commentator who keeps the scepticism alive.

SO, why has the war come, and what are the likely consequences? The larger
U.S. objectives have been dealt with in previous articles (notably "U.S.
design and global complicity", Frontline, January 31, 2003; "Anti-war
upsurge", March 14, 2003; and "The countdown begins", March 28, 2003). We
shall return to these objectives and amplify the argument further. It needs
to be set out at the very outset, however, that the Security Council, the
U.N. Secretary-General, and the so-called "international community",
including France and Germany who are now waxing eloquent, have been fully
complicit as three successive U.S. administrations - those led by Bush Sr.,
Bill Clinton and now Bush Jr. - have supervised U.S. policy in Iraq. It was
by means of a Security Council resolution that sanctions were imposed and
maintained, which have cost Iraq the lives of half a million of its
citizens, have ruined the health and life chances of its citizenry, withheld
from them essential commodities such as medicines, led to the decaying of
its oil industry as well as every other branch of its industry, and to the
collapse of its infrastructure. During these years, this same Anglo-American
axis imposed so-called "no-fly zones" over large parts of northern and
eastern Iraq. Thus, Iraq could not fly its own aircraft over its territory
but the Anglo-American axis could and did at will, in utter violation of
international law governing the sovereignty of nations. The Security Council
did nothing and implicitly condoned this decade-long violation of the U.N.
Charter. Hardly a week has passed during this decade when this axis has not
bombed something or the other in Iraq, without the Security Council ever
holding a single meeting to condemn, or even consider, this weekly
lawlessness. 


The U.S. demanded, the Security Council resolved, and every country in the
world, without exception, parroted the nauseating demand that Iraq be
"disarmed". Iraq has not occupied any foreign territory since the Gulf War
of 1991; Israel has occupied (even "annexed" by its own national law) Syrian
territory for close to 40 years, but Israel is not to be disarmed. Britain
and the U.S. have bombed Iraq, supplied military materials and advisers to
separatists and U.S.-nurtured "opposition" forces in northern Iraq. Even
Time magazine reported several weeks ago that secret U.S. armies, including
its Special Forces, have been operating in various parts of Iraq for many
months. But neither Britain nor the U.S. was to be "disarmed", nor even
condemned, no matter how much they flouted the sovereignty of Iraq or
inflicted bombs and death on its citizens.

Not only that. The U.S. has been shouting from the rooftops for well over a
year, as loudly and frequently as possible, that it will invade Iraq at a
time of its own choosing, with the sole objective of "regime change" (that
is, the overthrow of a lawfully constituted government of another sovereign
country through a unilateral act of war), regardless of what the weapons
inspectors did or did not find. Yet, knowing all this, this same Security
Council sent in the inspectors and authorised them to destroy what little
defensive capability Iraq still had, so as to make the war of conquest so
much easier for the Anglo-American axis. When the U.S. decided to begin the
invasion it sent its orders directly to those inspectors to get out of Iraq;
Kofi Annan, entirely on his own and without the permission of the Security
Council that had sent them in, "advised" them to abide by the U.S. orders.
Just before the U.S. withdrew the draft of its resolution from the Security
Council in mid-March, Jacques Chirac, the wily and unreliable French
President, offered a compromise solution whereby Iraq would be fully
disarmed within 30 days or face a war authorised by the U.N. The Americans
were the ones who did not care for this surrender by the Franco-German bloc
because their war calendar was set neither by issues of disarmament nor by
considerations of an already supine Security Council but by weather
conditions most suitable for invasion. By mid-April the big sand storms
would have begun and war would have become a bit more difficult.

This outrage continues. Commendably, China has issued a strongly worded
statement specifically saying that the war on Iraq is a violation of the
U.N. Charter, the Russian leader Vladimir Putin has used the words
"aggression" and "condemn", Germany and France are repeating their
"warnings" and advising "caution" so that "casualties" are minimised, and so
on. None of these permanent members of the Security Council, nor Kofi Annan
who is supposed to be the current custodian of the U.N. Charter, has so far
suggested that a unilateral act of war against a sovereign country, the
bombing of its cities, the occupation of its territories, the killing of its
civilians in city centres are all war crimes for which the leaders of the
U.S. and Britain must be tried in the International Court of Justice which
has been constituted precisely for that purpose.

Rather, Kofi Annan is known to have quietly appointed a committee some three
months ago for so-called "humanitarian" aid after the U.S. occupation. And,
the day after the bombings began, the same Germany and France began
negotiating as to how many of the contracts they will get for the "post-war
reconstruction" in Iraq. The day the Americans announced their resolve to
invade, Annan put an end to the oil-for-food programme that was being
administered by the U.N., thus putting an end to the crucial supplies upon
which the sanctions-bound Iraq relies to meet the daily needs of its
population. He also ordered the relief agencies to leave Iraq, leaving the
population without their resources. This prospect of starvation was expected
to encourage the people to start leaving the country, generating millions of
"refugees" who would be designated as Saddam's victims and to whom then the
benevolent U.N. and the even more benevolent Western countries would bring
"humanitarian aid". Now, ever the loyal servant of the U.S., Annan is busy
drafting a resolution for the Security Council whereby the U.S. shall be
allowed the act of conquest but the ugly task of occupation shall be
performed in the name of the U.N. This is so that the prolonged urban
warfare which the Iraqis are most likely to mount after the occupation shall
be faced not by the U.S. troops but by soldiers of other countries flying
the U.N. flag but doing the U.S. bidding. A plausible legal case can be made
against Annan for dereliction of duty as the defender of the U.N. Charter,
and for aiding and abetting war criminals of the Bush and Blair
administrations. 

The only act of substantive dissidence has come so far from Russia.
President Putin and his Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov were both quoted by the
Al Jazeera TV network on March 22 as saying that Russia, "along with other
countries", shall approach the legal departments of the U.N. in order to
determine whether or not the Anglo-American invasion of Iraq is in violation
of international law, and what appropriate actions can be undertaken in this
regard. It is still not known how serious the intent is behind such
statements. For, this too may turn out to be merely a bargaining point
between the U.S. and the opposing members of the Security Council. This is,
however, precisely what needs to be done. The four permanent members of the
Security Council as well as numerous other countries around the world have
said that the Anglo-American aggression against Iraq violates the U.N.
Charter and the other founding protocols of international law. These words
need to be made credible through deeds.

As for weapons of mass destruction, the rule of the thumb is quite simple:
if Iraq had them, the Americans would not have gone in and taken the risk.
They would have left the matter to the inspectors for as long as was
necessary. They knew that Iraq did not have any, at any rate not enough of
them to pose a significant problem. Then, week after week, the inspectors
further confirmed what the U.S. already knew. They gave the inspectors false
and misleading information because they actually had no concrete information
pointing to anything real; they just had some suspicions and wanted them
removed. Hans Blix obliged.

Conversely, of course, the U.S. will not invade North Korea because the
latter has actually developed nuclear weapons as well as delivery systems
that can carry the weapons at least as far as Japan. That is what Iraq was
trying to develop: a small number of such weapons that could go as far as
Israel, as a minimum counterweight against at least 200 nuclear warheads
that Israel, the great menace to the Arab world, is known to have. The
principle was the same: you threaten a key U.S. ally - Japan in the case of
North Korea, Israel in the case of Iraq - and the U.S. shall not dare invade
you. The North Korean gamble worked, Iraq's did not. And in this, as in much
else, the Security Council, the "international community" and so on have
been solidly on the side of the U.S. and against Iraq.



WHAT, then, are the strategic objectives and the prospects of their
realisation? 

We need first to dispose of the question of the immediate prospects in Iraq,
here and now. The first thing to be understood is that Iraq is battered,
exhausted, pauperised, with its defensive capabilities already destroyed,
enjoying no assistance in practical terms from outside. Two-thirds of its
population relied on the direct distribution of essential commodities, such
as food and medicines, by the state. The invasion has put an end to that. It
is very unlikely that its armed forces can put up for long any kind of
conventional defence against the super-high-tech invaders. Iraq's only
strength, which is yet to be tested, is the fighting spirit of its people.
Will they stand and fight? The Iraqi authorities say that they have armed
seven million people, a third of Iraq's total population. Will this fuel a
popular, long-drawn war of anti-imperialist resistance? Will it lead,
instead, to armed inter-ethnic conflicts? Between members of the Baath Party
and their opponents? Generalised anarchy as the population, bereft of even
food and other essential goods, scrounges around, fighting for mere
day-to-day survival, each against all? It is too soon to tell.

Conversely, all that the U.S. had expected to happen immediately, has not
happened. There have been no anti-Saddam uprisings, no Shia welcome for the
invaders, no Shia-Sunni tussles, no exodus of people out of the cities.

People have seen thousands of bombs and missiles, equal to hundreds of
thousands of tonnes of explosives, fall on their city, and they have not
moved. Indeed, there are reports of the Iraqi embassies in Lebanon and
Jordan being flooded with applicants who want to go and fight in Iraq,
against the U.S. Even CNN has shown pictures of Iraqis in Amman packing
their cars to drive to Baghdad and be in their city as the bombs fall. The
Americans had predicted splits in the Iraqi Army, splits in the ruling
party, splits in the regime itself. They are still claiming to be in
negotiation with senior military and party leaders who wish to come over to
their side. They have been saying for months that they will absorb the whole
of the Baath Party into their own apparatus if Saddam is ditched. None of
this has happened yet. Maybe it will happen, maybe not.

Meanwhile, even as their monstrous military convoys rumble toward Baghdad
and the aerial bombardment of the city continues, the nightmare for the
Americans is that they will have to fight in direct combat, street to
street, house to house, with U.S. and British casualties mounting. They know
that public opinion in the U.K. is already overwhelmingly against the war,
with the ruling party itself deeply divided on the issue. A prolonged war
with significant American casualties shall erode the pro-war sentiment in
the U.S. too, quite fast. In the case of Vietnam that erosion took years,
but in the present case it may take weeks, at most months. However, an
unwillingness to take significant casualties puts the Anglo-U.S. bloc in a
dilemma. 

Conventional armies surrender, but what does the invader do with armies that
simply melt into the populace and fight without fixed positions? Well, if
conventional combat on the ground is deemed politically too costly on the
home front, the only other choice is a war of extermination: kill the whole
lot, from up high. The invaders certainly have the military means to
accomplish that. But the political consequences of such actions are even
more unthinkable. One night of terrorist bombings of carefully selected
uninhabited buildings have brought out perhaps as many as three million
people on to the streets across the globe, with street fights breaking out
in a couple of dozen cities. Entire populations being incinerated, and on
television at that, will certainly rip apart West Asian and European cities,
possibly some American ones as well, and an unstoppable movement will be
born to try Bush and Blair as war criminals.

So, the Americans are still hoping that something will work for them: the
populations will flee, politicians and officers will shift loyalties,
somebody will produce Saddam's dead body, or some such thing. The U.S.-U.K.
alliance says that its forces will reach the perimeter of Baghdad by March
27. Some of the answers shall then start coming in.

WHAT has this alliance achieved so far? Well, their forces are moving along
through the desert, but they have achieved little else in the war as yet, on
the fourth day of the assault. Elsewhere, three of their gains have been
substantial. First, they have secured the home front, substantially. In the
U.S., where the population was split before the war, patriotic fervour has
helped Bush win a three-fourths majority to his side, and when the Democrat
Senator Robert C. Byrd, who has served in Congress for close to 50 years,
longer than anyone else, rose to deliver his solemn denunciation of this war
- "Today I weep for my country," he said - the Senate chamber was empty and
his own party colleagues did not bother to hear him. In the U.K., the
much-longed-for rebellion in the Labour Party did not materialise; 139
Members of Parliament voted against him but Blair won by a comfortable
majority in his own party and an overwhelming majority in the House, with
solid Tory support.

Secondly, the U.S. has managed to split the European Union, a major
political aim at the moment, with the U.K., Spain, Italy, Portugal and a
number of smaller countries supporting Washington against the Franco-German
position. In addition, half a dozen Arab countries have provided the U.S.
and its allies basing facilities (including Jordan, which has done it very
quietly) while others have given them tacit support, with the exception of
Syria. This is really the core of what they call a "coalition of the
willing" and for which they claim a membership of 45 countries. Most of
those 45 are insignificant little dependencies such as Eritrea, El Salvador
and Estonia. If in consequence of this war, the U.S. can also stabilise the
dollar as the exclusive currency of the oil trade, against the challenge
from the Euro, this split in the E.U. can have long-term consequences.

Thirdly, the U.S. has rendered the U.N. irrelevant or worse, not by getting
authorisation from the Security Council but in bypassing it, and doing its
dirty work at the U.N. through Kofi Annan and his bureaucracy. The other
members of the Security Council now have the choice of gulping it and merely
asking for a share in a future dispensation, or concretely challenging the
very legality of the U.S.-U.K. aggression and forcing them to be answerable
to international law, on terms chosen not by themselves but by courts that
have international jurisdiction. The U.N. thus can become "relevant" again
in one of two ways. It can become relevant the way it has always been
relevant, as a tool of the Americans, with "allies" following suit. Or, it
can indeed refuse to play that role and bring the U.S. to book.


All that will depend on two factors. First, it is to be seen if the
Franco-German alliance is committed deeply enough in defending the Euro
against the dollar, in a do-or-die political battle at this time. Secondly,
you have to see whether the Franco-German-Sino-Russian coalition that
emerged fleetingly during the recent Security Council proceedings really has
any long-term significance as an enduring bloc against unilateral U.S.
domination over the globe. The fact that the U.S.-U.K. alliance has
pointedly defied and bypassed the Security Council and that no other
permanent member has even asked for a session to be held to discuss this
grave matter would seem to indicate that the will is lacking to take on the
U.S. at this point. This too is a matter that will have to be watched
carefully. If Russia does make good on its threat to have the international
agencies determine the issue of the legality of the current aggression
against Iraq, then we shall have entered a new phase in the struggle for the
global balance of power.

As for the long-term strategic aims of the U.S., the politics of oil and the
associated war of currencies, the dollar versus the Euro, has been written
about here previously (see in particular the closing section of "The
countdown begins", Frontline, March 28, 2003). The larger geo-political
design driving this politics has also been written about at length (see
"U.S. design and global complicity", January 31, 2003). This writer has
repeatedly emphasised the fact that U.S. foreign policy under Bush is being
formulated primarily not at the State Department or even by the Central
Intelligence Agency (CIA) but at a cluster of think tanks of the Far Right.
Among these the Project for New American Century, the home base of the
current top officials of the Pentagon, is pivotal but there are also such
other think tanks as the Heritage Foundation and the American Enterprise
Institute. In considering what comes after the conquest of Iraq, one might
as well conclude with a quotation from a contribution that Michael Ledeen,
who holds the Freedom Chair at the American Enterprise Institute,
contributed to the New York Sun of March 19, just as the invasion began. The
article is titled "After Baghdad: Teheran, Damascus, Riyadh". It says in
part: "Once upon a time, it might have been possible to deal with Iraq
alone, without facing the murderous forces of the other terror masters in
Teheran, Damascus and Riyadh, but that time has passed... their doom is
sealed. It would then be only a matter of time before their people would
demand the same liberation we brought Afghanistan and Iraq... Iraq is a
battle, not a war."

So, we know where the cruise missiles shall be raining down next.





© Copyright 2000 - 2002 The Hindu

Top of Message | Previous Page | Permalink

JiscMail Tools


RSS Feeds and Sharing


Advanced Options


Archives

May 2024
April 2024
March 2024
February 2024
January 2024
December 2023
November 2023
October 2023
September 2023
August 2023
July 2023
June 2023
May 2023
April 2023
March 2023
February 2023
January 2023
December 2022
November 2022
October 2022
September 2022
August 2022
July 2022
June 2022
May 2022
April 2022
March 2022
February 2022
January 2022
December 2021
November 2021
October 2021
September 2021
August 2021
July 2021
June 2021
May 2021
April 2021
March 2021
February 2021
January 2021
December 2020
November 2020
October 2020
September 2020
August 2020
July 2020
June 2020
May 2020
April 2020
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
December 2019
November 2019
October 2019
September 2019
August 2019
July 2019
June 2019
May 2019
April 2019
March 2019
February 2019
January 2019
December 2018
November 2018
October 2018
September 2018
August 2018
July 2018
June 2018
May 2018
April 2018
March 2018
February 2018
January 2018
December 2017
November 2017
October 2017
September 2017
August 2017
July 2017
June 2017
May 2017
April 2017
March 2017
February 2017
January 2017
December 2016
November 2016
October 2016
September 2016
August 2016
July 2016
June 2016
May 2016
April 2016
March 2016
February 2016
January 2016
December 2015
November 2015
October 2015
September 2015
August 2015
July 2015
June 2015
May 2015
April 2015
March 2015
February 2015
January 2015
December 2014
November 2014
October 2014
September 2014
August 2014
July 2014
June 2014
May 2014
April 2014
March 2014
February 2014
January 2014
December 2013
November 2013
October 2013
September 2013
August 2013
July 2013
June 2013
May 2013
April 2013
March 2013
February 2013
January 2013
December 2012
November 2012
October 2012
September 2012
August 2012
July 2012
June 2012
May 2012
April 2012
March 2012
February 2012
January 2012
December 2011
November 2011
October 2011
September 2011
August 2011
July 2011
June 2011
May 2011
April 2011
March 2011
February 2011
January 2011
December 2010
November 2010
October 2010
September 2010
August 2010
July 2010
June 2010
May 2010
April 2010
March 2010
February 2010
January 2010
December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
March 2008
February 2008
January 2008
December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
September 2007
August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
May 2007
April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007
December 2006
November 2006
October 2006
September 2006
August 2006
July 2006
June 2006
May 2006
April 2006
March 2006
February 2006
January 2006
December 2005
November 2005
October 2005
September 2005
August 2005
July 2005
June 2005
May 2005
April 2005
March 2005
February 2005
January 2005
December 2004
November 2004
October 2004
September 2004
August 2004
June 2004
May 2004
April 2004
March 2004
February 2004
January 2004
December 2003
November 2003
October 2003
September 2003
August 2003
July 2003
June 2003
May 2003
April 2003
March 2003
February 2003
January 2003
December 2002
November 2002
October 2002
September 2002
August 2002
July 2002
June 2002
May 2002
April 2002
March 2002
February 2002
January 2002
December 2001
November 2001
October 2001
September 2001
August 2001
July 2001
June 2001
May 2001
April 2001
March 2001
February 2001
January 2001
December 2000
November 2000
October 2000
September 2000
August 2000
July 2000
June 2000
May 2000
April 2000
March 2000
February 2000
January 2000
December 1999
November 1999
October 1999
September 1999
August 1999
July 1999
June 1999
May 1999
April 1999
March 1999
February 1999
January 1999
December 1998
November 1998
October 1998
September 1998
August 1998
July 1998
June 1998
May 1998
April 1998
March 1998
February 1998
January 1998
December 1997
November 1997
October 1997
September 1997
August 1997
July 1997
June 1997
May 1997
April 1997
March 1997
February 1997
January 1997
December 1996
November 1996
October 1996
September 1996
August 1996
July 1996
June 1996
May 1996
April 1996
March 1996


JiscMail is a Jisc service.

View our service policies at https://www.jiscmail.ac.uk/policyandsecurity/ and Jisc's privacy policy at https://www.jisc.ac.uk/website/privacy-notice

For help and support help@jisc.ac.uk

Secured by F-Secure Anti-Virus CataList Email List Search Powered by the LISTSERV Email List Manager