> Joint Health and Social Care Modelling Group - OR Society Health and
Social
> Services study group Seminars 2003
>
> All seminars are in Room 5.06 at 9-18 Euston Centre, London (off Drummond
> Street, nearest tube: Warren Street). Tea, coffee, and biscuits will be
> served.
> _________________________________
> Date: Tuesday 13 May 2003, 17:00-18:00
> Speaker: Dr Ruth Davies, University of Southampton, UK
> Title: Using simulation for evaluating resource requirements and
> cost-utilities of treatments for end-stage renal failure
> Abstract:
> Patients with end-stage renal failure need renal replacement therapy,
which
> includes haemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis and kidney transplantation.
> Numbers are relatively small but the treatments are expensive. A discrete
> event simulation describes the transfer of patients between modalities.
> Current and expected future acceptance rates for England were estimated
from
> population projections and comparisons with other countries. Kaplan Maier
> survival curves were derived from patient databases and were fitted, by
age
> group, using two exponential curves. The simulation results show that the
> numbers on treatment can be expected to increase by about 50%-75% over the
> next 15 years, which will place a considerable burden on the Health
Service
> budget. Cost utility calculations facilitate comparisons with screening
> services, prevention measures and treatments for other diseases.
> _________________________________
> Next Talk ...
>
> Date: Tuesday 3 June 2003, 17:00-18:00
> Speaker: Prof Jim Bryant and Dr John Darwin, Sheffield Hallam University,
UK
> Title: Managing Dilemmas and Paradox
>
> -----------
> Dr. T.J. Chaussalet
> Reader, CSCS, Dept of Mathematics
> University of Westminster
> 9-18 Euston Centre
> London NW1 3ET, UK
> Tel: +44(0)207 911 5000 ext 4310
> Fax: +44(0)207 915 5438
> Email: [log in to unmask]
> -----------
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