Bob,
For general disaster loss stastistics, try the CRED database
http://www.cred.be/emdat/intro.html - I would use the spreadsheet version
and select the countries, periods, and disaster types you are interested in.
For detailed information on tropical cyclones, particularly the observed
tracks, try http://www.metoffice.com/sec2/sec2cyclone/sec2cyclone.html
For climate change, see
http://www.metoffice.com/research/hadleycentre/index.html
You may be particularly interested in the Climate Change Projections
section. Also the PRECIS model developed with UK DFID funding using the IPCC
projections in a model which can be run locally for impact studies.
Regards,
Steve
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Stephen G. Palmer
Technical Co-ordination Manager
Room G24c Email: [log in to unmask]
Met Office Tel: +44 (0)1344 856915
London Road Fax: +44 (0)1344 854543
Bracknell Mob: +44 (0)7771 808531
Berkshire RG12 2SZ http://www.metoffice.com
United Kingdom
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Robert E Alexander [SMTP:[log in to unmask]]
> Sent: Sunday, January 05, 2003 7:07 AM
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Subject: request for statistics
>
> though I'm guessing that i could dig it up somewhere, I hope that
> someone else out there might already have the statistics that I'm
> seeking (or a ready reference to them) already at their fingertips.
> I've been asked to preface a report comparing long-run flood risk
> management alternatives for sustainable livelihoods in rural floodplain
> communities of southeast asia with a few sentences describing the
> general context of trends in losses. so, if you have easy access to
> any of the following information (with references), I'll be highly
> appreciative for any such info (or references regarding where i can
> find the most up-to-date information) that is sent my way:
>
> * trends in disaster losses to livelihoods from all natural events
> throughout the world (past 10 years relative to previous 100 years?),
> specifically in developing countries and in southeast asia, and more
> specifically in rural areas of developing countries and rural areas of
> southeast asia
>
> * trends in disaster losses to livelihoods from typhoons/flooding
> (including excessive monsoon rains) throughout the world (past 10
> years relative to previous 100 years?), specifically in developing
> countries and in southeast asia, and more specifically in rural areas
> of developing countries and rural areas of southeast asia
>
> * expectations of how global warming, demographic shifts, or other
> trends will affect these statistics in the short, medium, and long-term
> future
>
>
> gratefully,
> bob alexander
|