WORKSHOP ANNOUNCEMENT:
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          Euroworkshop on Statistical Modelling -

          Model Building and Evaluation


          31st to 3th November, 2002
          Schloß Höhenried, Bernried, near Munich, Germany
          http://www.stat.uni-muenchen.de/euroworkshop

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         First Announcement
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Gnereal Information:
The Euroworkshop on Statistical Modelling is a workshop
project funded by the European Commission. The workshop
on Model Building and Evaluation is the third and final event
in series of workshops with the topics Mixed Models and
Nonparametric Models. Coordinator of the project is
Göran Kauermann, University of Glasgow, UK.

Topic:
Generally speaking, every model is plausible as long as it is
not falsified. The falsification of models however is the most
challenging point in science. This holds in the same for statistical
models. To provide valid Statistical Models that fulfil the task of
modelling reality, it is of fundamental importance to consider the
model building process in more depth and to check and validate
fitted models by means of model diagnostics. The workshop is
intended to consider our "modelling toolbox" critically, rather
than considering one particular model critically. This includes
areas like "Traditional Model Diagnostic Tools", "Graphical Model
Diagnostics", "Model validation using smoothing techniques",
"Bayesian Models and their validation" as well as "Bootstrapping
and its role in model evaluation". Model validation does not
only mean to check one particular model at hand (like a typical
testing procedure), but also, if not more importantly, to check
whether the entire model class being applied is valid. In short
the focus is on the question: "Are we modelling the right things
with our model and how can we validate and evaluate this"

Keynote Speakers (confirmed January 2002):
* Anthony Davison, Switzerland,
* Jeffrey Hart, USA,
* Sandford Weisberg, USA.

Programme:
The workshop is designed to have five keynote lectures and
further contributed presentations. The number of participants
is limited to 30, where 1/3 of the participants are Young
Researchers who can be supported by the European Commission
in form of travel grants and free accommodation. Young Researchers
are particularly encouraged to participate actively by presenting
their work.

Location:
The workshop will take place in Schloß Höhenried, Bernried near
Munich, Germany. Schloß Höhenried is a Bavarian castle, located
at the Starnberger See, the most famous outdoor recreational area
of Munich.

Organisers:
Göran Kauermann, (Coordinator), Glasgow, UK;
Adrian Bowman, Glasgow, UK; Herwig Friedl, Austria;
John Hinde, UK ; Emmanuel Lesaffre, Belgium.

Further Information:
Updated information is provided on

http://www.stat.uni-muenchen.de/euroworkshop .

Questions concerning the workshop should be E-mailed to
Göran Kauermann ([log in to unmask]) or send to:
Göran Kauermann, Department of Statistics,
University of Glasgow, University Gardens,
Glasgow G12 8QW.