Apologies for cross postings.
15th March 2002
Title: Producing national sets of small area population estimates: where are we now, and where are we going?
Organiser: RSS Official Statistics Section & The British Society for Population Studies, BSPS
Location: Royal Statistical Society, Errol St, London EC1Y 8LX
Contact: [log in to unmask] or [log in to unmask]
Half Day Meeting (1.30pm - 5.30pm)
Review of needs with results from the Estimating with Confidence Project
Ludi Simpson (University of Manchester and City of Bradford Metropolitan District Council)
The use of administrative data and local consultation for the construction of estimates - methods developed for the English Indices of Deprivation
Bruce Penhale (Oldham Borough Council)
Improving estimates derived from patient registers - methods developed for the Northern Ireland Measures of Deprivation
Chris Dibben and Michael Noble (University of Oxford)
Small area population estimation - micro and macro approaches
Paul Williamson (University of Liverpool)
A framework for progressively improving small area population estimates
Phil Rees, Paul Norman and Dominic Brown (University of Leeds)
Projecting migration for small areas: experiences from Avon, Berkshire, and London modelling
John Hollis (Greater London Authority)
ONS small area population estimates project
Marie Haythornthwaite and Andrew Bates (ONS)
Ideas, reflections and conclusions on making small area population estimates
Ian Diamond (University of Southampton)
The increasing availability of data at a small area level - combined with the need to measure the current and changing social and economic situations of neighbourhoods and small communities - have contributed to a considerably increased demand for small area population estimates. While population estimates are frequently produced for individual administrative areas for specific needs, there have been far fewer attempts to produce national sets of estimates using a common methodology. As a result, some areas have good small area population estimates, while others have none. For these latter areas, census populations have to be used - which can be a number of years out of date. However the situation is improving. The University of Oxford has produced national sets of population estimates for small areas for England, and Northern Ireland - and the General Register Office for Scotland has made a set for Scotland. At the same time, ONS has recognised the importance of such estimates and set up a small area population estimates project. It is therefore an appropriate time to reflect on the present state of population estimation, alternative methodologies, and desirable future developments. This half-day meeting has been organised in the form of a series of short presentations aimed at stimulating debate on this subject.
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There will be no charge for this meeting - which has been jointly supported by the RSS and the BSPS.
However, please confirm your attendance by e-mailing your name, e-mail
address and organisation to: [log in to unmask]
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