Hi Eshan,
You might start with the web-pages of the Association for Uncertainty in
Artificial Intelleigence (UAI), which runs an email discussion list on these
and similar topics:
http://www.auai.org/
Two people who have looked at some of the specific issues you mention are Linda
van der Gaag and Silja Renooij of the Computer Science Department of the
University of Utrecht. For example:
L. C. van der Gaag, S. Renooij, C. L. M. Witteman, B. M. P. Aleman and B. G.
Taal (1999): "How to elicit many probabilities", pp. 647--654 in: K. B.
Laskey and H. Prade (Editors): "Proceedings of the 15th Conference on
Uncertainty in AI", San Francisco: Morgan-Kaufmann.
You may be able to find this paper on the UAI web-pages, or else contact
Professor van der Gaag or Dr Renooij directly. Their pages are:
http://www.cs.uu.nl/staff/linda.html
http://www.cs.uu.nl/staff/silja.html
Best,
Peter McBurney
****************************************************************
Peter McBurney
Agent Applications, Research and Technology (Agent ART) Group
Department of Computer Science
University of Liverpool
Liverpool L69 7ZF
U.K.
Tel: + 44 151 794 6768
Email: [log in to unmask]
Web page: www.csc.liv.ac.uk/~peter/
****************************************************************
On Fri, 22 Jun 2001, you wrote:
>Please could I request your help on the following? I am exploring the
>use of Bayesian nets in a decision-making problem and wish to populate
>the node probability tables with expert assessments. From my initial
>understanding, I must tackle the following issues and I would like to
>ask if you could direct me to any state-of-the-art reviews, salient
>pieces of work in literature or other information sources (e.g. WWW
>discussion groups), regarding these.
>1. Methods for eliciting and combining quantitative expert beliefs
>2. Converting qualitative judgements to probabilities
>3. Methods for reducing the number of assessments required
>4. Techniques for calibrating experts and avoiding bias
>Your help would be much appreciated.
>Many thanks
>--
>Eshan Rajabally, Research Associate
>Engineering Design Centre
>Armstrong Building
>University of Newcastle Upon Tyne
>NE1 7RU
>Tel (0191) 222 5300
>Fax (0191) 261 6059
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