A few very fast off the cuff observations. The situation is rapidly changing. I am
not as pessimistic as before.

There something strange abroad. Rumsfield is reported to have said that they may
never catch OBL. A top admiral has said something along the lines that the Taliban
are sturdy warriors. It has also been said by a Washington source that Taliban forces
have been more difficult to dislodge than previously anticipated. There have been
apparently no more ground landings by the Yankees since the last one which took place
over a week ago. They seem to be afraid to deploy ground forces --perhaps partly
because  of what is called the Vietnam syndrome and partly because they lack the
confidence. The Northern Confederation apparently play volley ball on the front line
and are increasingly being presented as a rag bag bunch of cods. They have apparently
retreated back half a mile from the Kabul front in the aftermath of a recent
bombardment by Taliban of their front line position. NC say that the Yankees are not
air striking the front line positions of Taliban forces at Kabul. They say that the
strikes are not sufficient. Whether this is true or not I cannot say. But it may be
that the NC want to invade Kabul only when they there is no fighting to be
done --only when the Yankees have carpet bombed the Taliban forces positioned there
out of existence.

We were told that special forces are behing the Taliban front line --British as well
if my memory serves me right-- weeks ago. Now we are being informed that they are
only getting ready to go in. This is a secret war. The Taliban regime refuses
journalists entry to its territory because they are afraid that among them may be
Yankee spies. This is understandable. Concerning the Yankees. We have to accept their
reports as accurate. Even the photographs of targets shown by them could be
photographs of Texas or anywhere. Already they have been proven to be liars. They
said that the Taliban were liars and that no helicopter went down. Later they
admitted that a helicopter had gotten into difficulty in Afghanistan and consequently
lost some body parts --but escaped?

Really when it gets down to it we cannot be at all sure what is going on inside
Afghanistan. It is a classically secret war. The Yankees may be taking
casualties --we just dont know. Elements within the mainstream media seem to be
shifting ground away from their crude Yankee jingoistic position. Moderate Muslims in
the UK are growing in confidence in their criticisms of the bombings. Blair for all
his spinning could not effect even a temporary settlement in the Middle East. This
will not endear him to the rest of Europe since now their Middle East policy has, if
they ever had any, has now lost all credibility because of big mouth Bungling Blair.
Now the the bourgeois media are discovering that oil may be a decisive factor
explaining Yankee military intervention. As if it did not know that three weeks ago.
The role of the mainstream needs to be carefully analysed. On many critical issues it
tends to follow a pattern. Gung ho support for the ruling class politicians right
across the board. Then as the situation has progressed a certain distancing of
themselves from the actions of these politicial leaders. And then more outright
criticism --even limited. It is a mechanism that must be analysed.

It may be that the Yankees are about to mount a surprise ground offensive and are
acting as they are to take the Taliban off guard --just dont know.

Regards
Karl Carlile (Communist Global Group)
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