Hello BUGS users,
I would appreciate it if any user could point to or provide BUGS examples
for spatio-temporal modeling. I am particularly interested in BUGS examples
for spatial modeling where the prior for the spatial effects is expressed
as a conditional autoregressive process. This conditional probability
approach to spatial interaction (discussed within the context of Markow
Random Fields) seems to have been originially formulated by Besag (1974)
and has been used in various models such as those mentioned by Besag, York,
and Mollie (1991), Clayton, Bernardinelli, and Montomoli(1993),
Bernardinelli, Clayton, Pascutto, Montomoli, Ghislandi, and Songini (1995),
Mollie(1996), and Gelfand, Ghosh, Knight, and Sirmans (1998) among many
others. The spatial effects can also interact with time making the model
more complex.
Any pointers to code other than BUGS (C, Fortran, S-Plus etc.) are also
welcome.
Thank you in advance. I'll summarise the responses to the list.
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References:
Bernardinelli, L., D. Clayton, C. Pascutto, C. Montomoli, M. Ghislandi, M.
Songini (1995), "Bayesian Analysis of Space-Time Variation in Disease
Risk," Statistics in Medicine, Vol. 14, 2433-2443.
Besag, J. (1974), "Spatial Interaction and the Statistical Analysis of
Lattice Systems," (with discussion), JRSS, Ser. B. 36, 192-236.
Besag, J., Jeremy York, and Annie Mollie (1991), "Bayesian Image
Restoration with Two Applications in Spatial Statistics," Vol.43, p. 1-20.
Clayton, D., L. Bernardinelli, and C. Montomoli (1993), "Spatial
Correlation in Ecological Analysis," Int. J. Epidem. Vol. 22, p. 1193-1202.
Mollie, Annie (1996), "Bayesian Mapping of Disease", In Markov Chain Monte
Carlo in Practice (eds. W. R. Gilks, S. Richardson, and D. J.
Spielgelhalter), p. 369-379. London: Chapman & Hall.
Gelfand, Alan E., Sujit Ghosh, John R. Knight, and C.F. Sirmans (1998),
"Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Residential Sales Data," Journal of Business
and Economic Studies, Vol. 16, p. 312-321.
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Dr. K. Buyukkurt, Associate Professor
Marketing Department, Faculty of Commerce and Administration
Concordia University, 1450 De Maisonneuve Blvd West
Montreal, Quebec H3G 1M8, Canada
Office: 1 (514) 848 2947, Secretary: 1 (514) 848 2950, Fax: 1 (514) 848 4554
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